Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Picks - ATP Indian Wells
ATP - ATP Indian Wells
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Indian Wells Picks
Daniil Medvedev will take on Jack Draper for a spot in the semifinals of the 2026 Indian Wells Open. Medvedev is listed at -146 moneyline, but a nifty 2-leg parlay gets you +122 odds on DraftKings.
Current Form:
Jack Draper scored the biggest win since returning from a left arm injury, outlasting Novak Djokovic 4-6, 6-4, 7-6 in an absolute thriller on Wednesday. The No. 14-ranked Draper fired 13 aces and won 74% of his first serves to hold 13 of 16 service games against the best returner in the history of tennis. Draper, the defending Indian Wells champion, raised his record against the ATP top-5 players to 5-8.
Daniil Medvedev advanced to the quarterfinals of the Indian Wells in style, beating Alex Michelsen 6-2, 6-4. The former world’s No.1 dominated Michelsen on the serve, firing 9 aces and winning 72 percent of his first serves. Now 17-3 on the season, Medvedev targets his third title this year after ruling tournaments in Auckland and Dubai.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev Form
Jack Draper and Daniil Medvedev Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 11, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 9, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 23, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 5, 2026 - Davis Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Mar 11, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 9, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 27, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 26, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Jack Draper against Daniil Medvedev : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
May 11, 2024 - ATP Italian Open
Jack Draper - Daniil Medvedev Key Points
- Daniil Medvedev defeated Jack Draper 7-5, 6-4 at the Rome Masters in 2024.
- Daniil Medvedev is 17-3 on the 2026 ATP season.
- Jack Draper is 24-28 vs. top-20 players in 2026.
- Jack Draper is winning 78.7 percent of his first serves at the 2026 Indian Wells Open.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our Jack Draper vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Daniil Medvedev tops Jack Draper 6-7, 6-4, 6-3,
Medvedev has been red-hot to start the 2026 ATP season, already pushing his win tally to 17 matches while winning two ATP titles. Draper is coming off a momentum-boosting win over Djokovic, but after surviving a two-hour, 35-minute marathon, will the Brit still have the stamina to grind out a win over an in-form Medvedev?
Betting Tip: Medvedev is already an appealing pick at -146, but you can still raise the potential payout by taking a 2-leg, same-game parlay centered on a Medvedev win on DraftKings. In this particular match, you could parlay Medvedev at -146 with Medvedev Over 12.5 games to push the odds to +122.
Medvedev might be the favorite here, but he’s not smoking Draper. However, if this match goes three full sets, then that would be the situation where Medvedev would have a significant edge since Draper is coming off a grueling match with Djokovic. Draper is young and athletic, but he hasn’t played enough matches to build the stamina that can outlast a battle-hardened player like Medvedev. In short, he will not outlast Meddy Bear in this match.
Our betting prediction for Daniil Medvedev vs. Jack Draper: Daniil Medvedev Win + Daniil Medvedev Over 12.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
