Inter Milan vs Barcelona Prediction & Picks - Champions League

Europe - Champions League

Inter Milan
5/6/25 15:00
Barcelona

Prediction:

 

Inter to Score Over 1.5 Goals

-105
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Champions League Picks

After playing out a classic last week, Inter and Barcelona will clash in the second leg of the UEFA Champions League semi-finals on Tuesday. The pair will meet at the iconic soccer venue of San Siro, where both will be hoping to clinch a place in the final. Having held their own despite being largely unfancied by the betting market a week ago, the hosts have given themselves a fighting chance of being successful on their own pitch, but can they do enough defensively against a supremely dangerous opponent? 

For the visitors, it was all about attack last week, and that will likely be the case in the city of Milan too. Hansi Flick's men are at their best when forcing teams back, so we can expect the game to follow a similar pattern to what we saw in Barcelona, with the Catalonians pushing forward, before trying to suffocate the hosts, preventing them from breaking too quickly. Two contrasting styles will be on show and another fascinating encounter looks set to unfold. 

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Inter Milan vs Barcelona Form

Inter Milan and Barcelona Latest Matches

Inter Milan
Inter Milan Latest matches
D L L L D W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

Apr 30, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  3
Inter Milan

Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Roma

Apr 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
0 :  3
AC Milan

Apr 20, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  0
Inter Milan

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Bayern Munich
W W D L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

Apr 27, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
0 :  1
Roma

Apr 23, 2025 - Coppa Italia

Inter Milan
0 :  3
AC Milan

Apr 16, 2025 - Champions League

Inter Milan
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

Apr 12, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  1
Cagliari

Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  1
Udinese
W D D W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Apr 30, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  3
Inter Milan

Apr 20, 2025 - Serie A

Bologna
1 :  0
Inter Milan

Apr 8, 2025 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
1 :  2
Inter Milan

Apr 5, 2025 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  2
Inter Milan

Apr 2, 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Mar 16, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  2
Inter Milan
Barcelona
Barcelona Latest matches
L W W W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Valladolid
1 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 30, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  3
Inter Milan

Apr 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Apr 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Mallorca

Apr 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  3
Celta Vigo

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Barcelona
D W W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Apr 30, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  3
Inter Milan

Apr 26, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Barcelona
3 :  2
Real Madrid

Apr 22, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  0
Mallorca

Apr 19, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
4 :  3
Celta Vigo

Apr 9, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
4 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

Apr 5, 2025 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  1
Betis
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 3, 2025 - LaLiga

Valladolid
1 :  2
Barcelona

Apr 15, 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Barcelona

Apr 12, 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Barcelona

Apr 2, 2025 - Copa del Rey

Atletico Madrid
0 :  1
Barcelona

Mar 16, 2025 - LaLiga

Atletico Madrid
2 :  4
Barcelona

Mar 5, 2025 - Champions League

Benfica Lisbon
0 :  1
Barcelona

Inter Milan against Barcelona : Head to Head (H2H)

Inter Milan

17 %

Draw

50 %

Barcelona

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
83%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

Apr 30, 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  3
Inter Milan

Oct 12, 2022 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  3
Inter Milan

Oct 4, 2022 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  0
Barcelona

Dec 10, 2019 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  2
Barcelona

Oct 2, 2019 - Champions League

Barcelona
2 :  1
Inter Milan

Nov 6, 2018 - Champions League

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Barcelona

Inter Milan - Barcelona: Form Analysis

Following what was a huge effort on the road in the first leg, Tuesday's hosts ground out a low-key win at the weekend, beating Hellas Verona by a goal to zero, thanks to a first-half penalty from irregular starter Kristjan Asllani, who typically features on the bench. That was Inter's first win in six games, so they should come into this second leg with renewed confidence. 

Inter are coming off a much-needed win over the weekend.

For the Barca boys, after that rare tie in the first leg, it was business as usual at the weekend, with Hansi Flick's men getting the job done, though they did so in less than explosive fashion, edging ahead against an already relegated Valladolid team, winning by two goals to one courtesy of second-half goals from Fermin Lopez and the ever reliable Raphinha. That victory ensures that the Spanish giants remain on course for what would be a fantastic treble win. 

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Barcelona v Inter Milan last Lineups

Inter Milan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

13
J. Martinez
31
Y. Bisseck
6
S. de Vrij
30
C. Augusto
36
M. Darmian
16
D. Frattesi
21
K. Asllani
7
P. Zielinski
59
N. Zalewski
8
M. Arnautovic
11
J. Correa
10
A. Fati
18
P. Victor
46
D. Rodriguez
16
F. Lopez
6
Gavi
8
Pedri
35
G. Martin
15
A. Christensen
4
R. Araujo
32
H. Fort
1
M. Ter Stegen

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Barcelona

Missing players

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Defender

B. Pavard

Forward

L. Martinez

Barcelona
Barcelona
Defender

A. Balde

J. Kounde

Midfielder

M. Bernal

M. Casado

Forward

R. Lewandowski

Inter Milan & Barcelona Squad Analysis

As was to be expected, we saw both teams rest players at the weekend. For the hosts, pretty much every player who started the first leg was giving the game off at the weekend, with the likes of Federico Dimarco and Francesco Acerbi getting some minutes off the bench. Both are expected to start on Tuesday, while Marcus Thuram, Hakan Calhanoglu, Yann Sommer and Denzel Dumfries will all return too. 

Unfortunately, Lautaro Martinez will miss out thanks to the injury sustained in the first leg. 

As far as the visitors are concerned, Jules Kounde and Gavi are expected to be sidelined, though there are no other concerns, and they too were able to rest key players at the weekend. Lamine Yamal started on the bench against Valladolid but will start here, as will Raphinha, Ferran Torres and Wojciech Szczesny. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Inter Milan
CD Huachipato Barcelona
Top Goalscorer
Argentina L. Martinez (20 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Poland R. Lewandowski (36 Goals)
Best assists
Italy F. Dimarco (8 Assists)
Italy N. Barella (8 Assists)
Best assists
Spain L. Yamal (15 Assists)
Brazil Raphinha (15 Assists)

Inter Milan and Barcelona Stats in Champions League

Inter Milan
Inter Milan
Barcelona
Barcelona
69%
Victories
69%
23%
Draw
15%
8%
Defeats
15%
2.31
Total goals per match
4.62
1.69
Goals scored per match
3.08
0.62
Goals conceded per match
1.54
46%
Over 2.5
92%
54%
Under 2.5
8%
31%
BTTS
69%
62%
No goals conceded
31%

Inter Milan - Barcelona Key Points

  1. When the teams met in the first leg, Inter found lots of joy on the break.
  2. The hosts come into this game having scored three goals in Barcelona a week ago.
  3. Simone Inzaghi's team has now scored two or more goals in three consecutive home UCL games.
  4. The hosts have also scored two or more goals in each of their last six (home and away) UCL games.
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Our Inter Milan vs Barcelona Prediction

We saw just how effective Inter can be on the break last week in Barcelona and with the Catalan side likely to continue pushing forward, Tuesday's hosts should once again enjoy themselves on the counter. Crucially, that simple fact may not be reflected enough in the early betting, so there's value to be had by taking Simone Inzaghi's men to repeat what they did in the first leg and score at least two goals. Our Inter vs Barcelona Pick: Inter to Score Over 1.5 Goals. 

Prediction:

 

Inter to Score Over 1.5 Goals

-105
$200 offered for betting!

Inter Milan vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Picks

Federico Dimarco to Assist

Odds +480
As a secondary or additonal option, betting on Inter wide man Federico Dimarco could be the way to go. The Italian will likely get lots of space to play into on the break, while he's not exactly unused to delivering for the forwards, creating Inter's joint-most expected assisted goals in the Champions League this season. Dimarco also rates as Inter's top man in terms of key passes (= passes leading directly to a shot) during the current UCL campaign.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Inter Milan vs Barcelona Picks
Up to $200 to bet on Inter Milan - Barcelona! 

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