Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari Prediction & Picks - WTA Doha
WTA - WTA Doha
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Maria Sakkari of Greece will try to pull off an upset against former world’s No.1 Iga Swiatek in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Qatar Open on Thursday.
Recommended Pick: Maria Sakkari +6.5 Games
Potential Payout: Bet $135, Win $235 (-135) on Caesars Sportsbook
Sakkari clinched a spot in the quarterfinals of a WTA 1000 tournament after downing Varvara Gracheva 7-6, 6-0. The Greek has yet to concede a set in Doha, where she has posted a 72 percent breakpoint conversion percentage and saved 11 of 15 breakpoints.
Swiatek bounced back from a lousy start to carve out a 5-7, 6-1, 6-1 win over Daria Kasatkina of Australia. After dropping three service games in the first set, Swiatek delivered a more polished performance in the next two frames to carve out a still dominant win over Kasatkina. Ranked No.2 in the world, Swiatek eyes a deep run in Doha in an attempt to fend off Elena Rybakina from overtaking her in the world rankings at the end of this tournament.
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Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari Form
Iga Swiatek and Maria Sakkari Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Feb 11, 2026 - WTA Doha
Feb 10, 2026 - WTA Doha
Jan 27, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 26, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 24, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 22, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Feb 11, 2026 - WTA Doha
Feb 10, 2026 - WTA Doha
Feb 9, 2026 - WTA Doha
Jan 21, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 17, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 12, 2026 - WTA Adelaide
Iga Swiatek against Maria Sakkari : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Feb 10, 2025 - WTA Doha
Mar 17, 2024 - WTA Indian Wells
Nov 11, 2021 - WTA Doha
Jun 9, 2021 - WTA French Open
Iga Swiatek - Maria Sakkari Key Points
- Iga Swiatek has dropped five service games at the 2026 Qatar Open.
- Iga Swiatek is 9-3 on the 2026 WTA season.
- Maria Sakkari has lost to Iga Swiatek in their last four meetings.
- Maria Sakkari is converting 56 percent of breakpoint chances this year.
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Our Iga Swiatek vs Maria Sakkari Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Maria Sakkari covers the -6.5-game spread in a loss to Iga Swiatek 4-6, 4-6.
Despite her 0-4 vs. Swiatek in their last four meetings, Sakkari appears to have the form and momentum to at least win a few games from Swiatek in this intriguing quarterfinal duel. Sakkari already salvaged a top-10 win in this tournament when she toppled Jasmine Paolini 6-4, 6-2. Paolini is clearly not having a good start to her 2026 campaign, but Sakkari also deserves credit for taking the air out of her, especially in crucial situations. The Greek has 28 top-10 wins and 14 top-5 victories in her career, underscoring her caliber as a player.
Swiatek will most likely come away with the W in the end, but I am 100 percent confident that she won’t have a pleasurable time playing Sakkari this time around.
Our betting prediction for Iga Swiatek vs. Maria Sakkari: Maria Sakkari +6.5 Games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.