Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction & Picks - NFL

USA - NFL

Houston Texans
12/27/25 16:30
Los Angeles Chargers

Prediction:

 

UNDER 39.5

-105
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 by Travis Pulver in NFL Picks

The Houston Texans will try to keep their playoff hopes alive when they take on the Los Angeles Chargers on Saturday, December 27, at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA. Kickoff for this battle between AFC Contenders is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. EST with coverage provided by the NFL Network.

Houston got off to a very slow start this season, losing their first three right out of the gate. After the loss to the Broncos dropped their record to 3-5, the future looked grim, but then things changed, and they started stacking wins. With a 23-21 victory against the Raiders last week, their win streak sits at seven consecutive games.  A stellar defense has led the way, with the offense doing just enough to keep them on the right side of the scoreboard. A lackluster offensive line has struggled to open lanes for the run game, but hasn’t been bad when it comes to pass protection. C.J. Stroud has been sacked 23 times (20th in the league). As for the Chargers, it hasn’t always been pretty, and they have had to deal with a number of injuries. But they come into this game having won four in a row and seven of their last eight. They are fresh off a big win over the Dallas Cowboys in Arlington, 34-17. Prior to that, they edged out the Chiefs, 16-13, and beat the Eagles by three as well, 22-19.

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers Form

Table

Teams % P W D L
6
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers
0.733 15 11 0 4
10
Houston Texans
Houston Texans
0.667 15 10 0 5

Houston Texans and Los Angeles Chargers Latest Matches

Houston Texans
Houston Texans Latest matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
21 :  23
Houston Texans

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
20 :  40
Houston Texans

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
20 :  10
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
20 :  16
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 20, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
19 :  23
Houston Texans

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
16 :  13
Tennessee Titans
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
21 :  23
Houston Texans

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Arizona Cardinals
20 :  40
Houston Texans

Nov 20, 2025 - NFL

Buffalo Bills
19 :  23
Houston Texans

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Jacksonville Jaguars
29 :  36
Houston Texans

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Denver Broncos
18 :  15
Houston Texans

Oct 26, 2025 - NFL

San Francisco 49ers
15 :  26
Houston Texans
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 7, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
20 :  10
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
20 :  16
Indianapolis Colts

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
16 :  13
Tennessee Titans

Oct 20, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
19 :  27
Seattle Seahawks

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
44 :  10
Baltimore Ravens

Sep 21, 2025 - NFL

Houston Texans
10 :  17
Jacksonville Jaguars
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles Chargers Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
34 :  17
Dallas Cowboys

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
16 :  13
Kansas City Chiefs

Dec 8, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
19 :  22
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
14 :  31
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
6 :  35
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
10 :  25
Los Angeles Chargers
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 8, 2025 - NFL

Philadelphia Eagles
19 :  22
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 30, 2025 - NFL

Las Vegas Raiders
14 :  31
Los Angeles Chargers

Nov 9, 2025 - NFL

Pittsburgh Steelers
10 :  25
Los Angeles Chargers

Oct 23, 2025 - NFL

Minnesota Vikings
10 :  37
Los Angeles Chargers

Oct 19, 2025 - NFL

Indianapolis Colts
38 :  24
Los Angeles Chargers

Oct 5, 2025 - NFL

Washington Commanders
27 :  10
Los Angeles Chargers
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Dec 21, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
34 :  17
Dallas Cowboys

Dec 14, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
16 :  13
Kansas City Chiefs

Nov 16, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
6 :  35
Jacksonville Jaguars

Nov 2, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
27 :  20
Tennessee Titans

Oct 12, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
29 :  27
Miami Dolphins

Sep 28, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
18 :  21
New York Giants

Houston Texans against Los Angeles Chargers : Head to Head (H2H)

Jan 11, 2025 - NFL

Los Angeles Chargers
12 :  32
Houston Texans

Houston Texans - Los Angeles Chargers Key Points

  1. The Chargers lead the all-time series vs. the Texans 6-4; Houston has won three of the last four.
  2. Houston is 8-7 ATS, and the Chargers are 8-6-1.
  3. The OVER is 5-9-1 for the Texans and 6-8-1 for the Chargers.
  4. Betting Public: 48% of moneyline tickets and 52% of the handle are on the Texans.

Our Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers Prediction

The line has moved from +142 for the Texans to as low as +105, which tells us the Texans have been getting a fair amount of support at sportsbooks to warrant the shift. With how well their defense has been playing, the Chargers' offense has a long day ahead of it. However, at the same time, the same can be said for LA’s defense. It is not as good as Houston’s, but it is one of the league's better units. But I’d still lean towards Houston to win; however, given how well both squads have been playing, the UNDER is the best bet for this game.

Our Texans vs. Chargers Pick: UNDER 39.5

Prediction:

 

UNDER 39.5

-105
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Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers Picks