Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Picks - NBA
USA - NBA
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by Paul Tamayo | in NBA Picks
The Miami Heat (29-40) visit the Houston Rockets (45-25) on Friday, March 21, 2025, at the Toyota Center.
The Rockets are clicking on all fronts, as they're riding an impressive eight-game winning streak. They outscored their opponents by an average margin of 14.5 points in that span. Moreover, they have increased their offensive rating to 124.4, almost a 10-point increase than their average of 114.7.
Meanwhile, the Heat is struggling mightily, having lost their last nine games. Their offensive rating has gone down to a paltry 107.0, almost a five-point decrease from their season average of 111.9. There was even a span of three straight games when they failed to reach 96 points as a team.
You can't easily count out an Eric Spoelstra-coached team, but the Heat also seems mind-boggled by their recent struggles. The Rockets should be able to take advantage with their improving offense and third-ranked defense (110.1).
Houston's two-way wing Amen Thompson is also expected to return after a six-game absence due to a foot injury. The Rockets could get back their best wing defender who also produces 14.0 points and 3.6 assists. This spells more trouble for Miami.
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Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
0.634 | 82 | 52 | 30 |
|
20
|
0.451 | 82 | 37 | 45 |
Miami Heat and Houston Rockets Latest Matches
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1/6 (17%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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Miami Heat against Houston Rockets : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
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Players list
T. Herro
J. Jaquez Jr.
A. Wiggins
J. Green
A. Thompson
F. VanVleet
Substitutes
P. Larsson
D. Mitchell
A. Burks
T. Rozier
H. Highsmith
N. Jovic
D. Robinson
K. Anderson
A. Holiday
R. Sheppard
J. Green
T. Eason
J. Smith
C. Whitmore
J. Tate
Miami Heat - Houston Rockets Key Points
- The Rockets have increased their offensive rating to 124.4 in the last eight games.
- The Heat's offensive rating has decreased to 107.0.
- The Rockets own the third-best defensive rating (110.1) in the league.
- Amen Thompson could return after a six-game absence.
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Our Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Prediction
Miami's offense has boggled down in their current nine-game losing streak. In that span, they produced a 107.0 offensive rating, which is very bad in NBA terms. It also doesn't help that they're facing a defensive-minded Rockets squad.
Amen Thompson is also expected to return after a six-game injury absence. That gives the Rockets their best defender back, which is trouble for the Heat. Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets match is: Rockets (-5.5) cover the spread.Grab an extra $350 for your Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets wager!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.