Henrique Rocha vs Nuno Borges Prediction & Picks - ATP Bastad Open

ATP - ATP Bastad Open

ATP 121 Portugal
Henrique Rocha
7/18/24 11:30
ATP 50 Portugal
Nuno Borges

Prediction:

 

Nuno Borges to Win

 

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 by Bradley Gibbs in Tennis Picks

On Thursday, there's more action coming to us from the ATP event in Bastad, Sweden, where there's an all Portuguese clash between Henrique Rocha and Nuno Borges. Rocha, as the lower-ranked player, will be looking to pull off a surprise win, while Borges, now back on a clay surface following his brief foray on grass will be hoping to build some consistency. This is seemingly a good opportunity for the higher-ranked player to gain momentum ahead of tougher tests.

Henrique Rocha vs Nuno Borges Form

Henrique Rocha and Nuno Borges Latest Matches

Henrique Rocha Latest matches
L
Victories

0/1 (0%)

Defeats

1/1 (100%)

Apr 3, 2024 - ATP Estoril Open

Henrique Rocha
0 :  2
Gael Monfils
Nuno Borges Latest matches
W L L L L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Jul 16, 2024 - ATP Bastad Open

Andrea Pellegrino
0 :  2
Nuno Borges

Jun 23, 2024 - ATP Mallorca Open

Nuno Borges
0 :  2
Alex Michelsen

Jun 17, 2024 - ATP Halle Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Nuno Borges

May 28, 2024 - ATP French Open

Nuno Borges
0 :  3
Tomas Machac

May 14, 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  0
Nuno Borges

May 12, 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Francesco Passaro
1 :  2
Nuno Borges

Henrique Rocha - Nuno Borges Key Points

  1. There's currently 131 places between these two in the ATP Rankings.
  2. Henrique Rocha hasn't played a top-70 player on clay in nearly two months.
  3. When Henrique Rocha last played a player ranked anwyhere near Borges, he lost.
  4. Nuno Borges has won each of his last five clay-court matches against lower-ranked players.

Our Henrique Rocha vs Nuno Borges Prediction

What can only be described as a very brief switch to grass courts didn't go so well for Nuno Borges, who is likely very thankful for this return to clay-court tennis. He made his return at this tournament with a simple win over Pellegrino, who is ranked 29 places above his opponent here, winning in straight sets. That victory bodes well ahead of this clash against his countryman. Henrique Rocha enjoyed a good run at the Challenger event in Trieste (Italy) recently, reaching the semi-finals, but this is a step up, one that he is unlikely to take in his stride. Given Borges' recent form against lower-ranked players on clay, this looks like a huge opportunity, and I'm just not sure that the early odds refelct that accurately enough. Therefore, betting on the higher-ranked man to come out on top offers some value for money at early BetMGM odds. Our Prediction: Nuno Borges to Win. 

Prediction:

 

Nuno Borges to Win

 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Henrique Rocha vs Nuno Borges Picks