Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Houston Rockets
4/30/25 19:30
Golden State Warriors

Prediction:

 

Under 204.5

-110
$350 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Paul Tamayo in NBA Picks

The Golden State Warriors visit the Houston Rockets for Game 5 of their 2025 first-round playoff matchup on April 30, Wednesday, at the Toyota Center. 

The 2nd-seeded Rockets' season is now in peril, as they trail the Warriors, 3-1. It has been a low-scoring, grind-it-out series, a type of game that apparently favors the more veteran Warriors squad. Only one game in this series (Game 4) breached a combined 204 points for both teams.

Speaking of Game 4, Jimmy Butler III was a huge difference in the Warriors victory. With Steph Curry only scoring 17, Butler came through in the second half and finished with 27 points on 12-12 free throw shooting. Butler is surely not new to these physical and rough playoff games.

As for the Rockets, there's much room for optimism. They lost Game 4 by only three points, and their young center Alperen Sengun finished with 31 points and 10 rebounds. They need more from the struggling Jalen Green, but a trip back home could boost their morale.   

With the way it has been all series long, expect Game 5 to be a slow-grinding match that could go either way. The longer this series goes, the more favorable it will be for the fresher legs of the young Rockets squad.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Form

Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors Latest Matches

Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets Latest matches
L L L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Apr 28, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
109 :  106
Houston Rockets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
104 :  93
Houston Rockets

Apr 23, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
109 :  94
Golden State Warriors

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
85 :  95
Golden State Warriors

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
111 :  126
Denver Nuggets

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
140 :  109
Houston Rockets
W W W L L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 23, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
109 :  94
Golden State Warriors

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
85 :  95
Golden State Warriors

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
111 :  126
Denver Nuggets

Apr 4, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
125 :  111
Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 2, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
143 :  105
Utah Jazz

Mar 25, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
121 :  114
Atlanta Hawks
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Apr 28, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
109 :  106
Houston Rockets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
104 :  93
Houston Rockets

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
140 :  109
Houston Rockets

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

LA Clippers
134 :  117
Houston Rockets

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
96 :  106
Houston Rockets

Mar 31, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
104 :  98
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 28, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
109 :  106
Houston Rockets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
104 :  93
Houston Rockets

Apr 23, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
109 :  94
Golden State Warriors

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
85 :  95
Golden State Warriors

Apr 15, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
121 :  116
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
119 :  124
LA Clippers
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 28, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
109 :  106
Houston Rockets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
104 :  93
Houston Rockets

Apr 15, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
121 :  116
Memphis Grizzlies

Apr 13, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
119 :  124
LA Clippers

Apr 9, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
111 :  114
San Antonio Spurs

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
96 :  106
Houston Rockets
W W W W W L
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 23, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
109 :  94
Golden State Warriors

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
85 :  95
Golden State Warriors

Apr 11, 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
86 :  103
Golden State Warriors

Apr 8, 2025 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
95 :  133
Golden State Warriors

Apr 3, 2025 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
116 :  123
Golden State Warriors

Apr 1, 2025 - NBA

Memphis Grizzlies
125 :  134
Golden State Warriors

Houston Rockets against Golden State Warriors : Head to Head (H2H)

Houston Rockets

33 %

Golden State Warriors

67 %

Apr 28, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
109 :  106
Houston Rockets

Apr 26, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
104 :  93
Houston Rockets

Apr 23, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
109 :  94
Golden State Warriors

Apr 20, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
85 :  95
Golden State Warriors

Apr 6, 2025 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
96 :  106
Houston Rockets

Feb 13, 2025 - NBA

Houston Rockets
98 :  105
Golden State Warriors

Players list

Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
A. Sengun D. Brooks

J. Green

A. Thompson

F. VanVleet

Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors

B. Podziemski

S. Curry

B. Hield

J. Butler

D. Green

Substitutes

Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
N. Williams S. Adams J. Landale

A. Holiday

R. Sheppard

J. Green

T. Eason

J. Smith

C. Whitmore

J. Tate

Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
T. Jackson-Davis Q. Post

P. Spencer

M. Moody

G. Payton II

J. Kuminga

G. Santos

K. Knox

K. Looney

B. Key

Houston Rockets - Golden State Warriors Key Points

  1. Three of the four games in this series failed to go over the combined total of 203 points.
  2. The Warriors only have a 111.6 offensive rating in this series.
  3. The Rockets only have a 109.1 offensive rating in this series.
  4. In the last two games, Rockets star Jalen Green produced measly numbers of 8.5 points and 36.8% field goal shooting.

Our Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction

Both the Warriors and the Rockets produced below 111.7 offensive rating in the first four games of the series. This is four points below their respective season averages, a testament to how the game changes in the playoffs.

With a combination of strong defense and unlucky shooting, we saw low-scoring battles between the Warriors and the Rockets. Expect more of the same in Game 5, as the Rockets fight off elimination at their home grounds. Our prediction for the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors match is: under 204.5.

Prediction:

 

Under 204.5

-110
$350 offered for betting!

Grab an extra $350 for your Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors wager!

FanDuel Welcome

Get ready to experience the thrill of the game with FanDuel's exciting welcome offer, available for use on the Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors matchup!

New users are eligible for $350 in bonus bets if your bet wins! This offer is a golden opportunity for new users. Don't miss out on this limited-time deal to enhance your sports betting experience with some extra oomph! Jump into the action today and let FanDuel take your sports engagement to the next level!

$350 available for Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors Picks