Genoa vs Roma Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Genoa
3/8/26 13:00
Roma

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

+132
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 by Erik Gibbs | in Serie A Picks

Genoa and AS Roma square off at Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Sunday in a Serie A clash that carries significant stakes on both ends of the table. Genoa, managed from the technical area with clear survival instincts, sit just three points above the relegation zone and badly need points to breathe easier as the season heads toward its final stretch.

Roma, meanwhile, are in a much more positive frame of mind, sitting just two points behind Napoli in third place and six behind AC Milan in second, they are pushing hard for a top-three finish and the Champions League qualification that comes with it.

In recent form, the contrast between these two sides is stark. Roma have not lost in their last four Serie A matches, collecting two wins and two draws in that run, including a dramatic 3-3 draw with Juventus. Before that, Roma beat Sassuolo 2-0 and posted multiple scorelines with at least two goals.

The Giallorossi have found a more reliable attacking rhythm under manager Gian Piero Gasperini, who took over midseason and has steadily improved the team's consistency. Genoa, on the other hand, endured a 2-0 defeat to Inter Milan last weekend that snapped a two-match unbeaten run and left them in a fragile position. They have lost three of their last five games overall and have managed just one win in their last ten home fixtures against Roma, a troubling stretch of six losses in that sample.

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Genoa vs Roma Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Roma
73 38 23 4 11 +28
16 Genoa
41 38 10 11 17 -10

Genoa and Roma Latest Matches

Genoa
Genoa Latest matches
W L L D W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 28, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Genoa

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Torino FC

Feb 15, 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  0
Genoa

Feb 7, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  3
Napoli

Jan 30, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna
L D W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Torino FC

Feb 7, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  3
Napoli

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  2
Bologna

Jan 12, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
3 :  0
Cagliari

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Pisa SC

Dec 21, 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  1
Atalanta
L D D L D L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Feb 28, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Genoa

Feb 15, 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese
0 :  0
Genoa

Jan 30, 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa

Jan 8, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  1
Genoa

Dec 29, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa
Roma
Roma Latest matches
D L W D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  3
Juventus

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  0
Cremonese

Feb 15, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Roma

Feb 9, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Cagliari

Feb 2, 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Roma

Jan 29, 2026 - Europa League

Panathinaikos Athens
1 :  1
Roma
L W D W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Mar 1, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  3
Juventus

Feb 22, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  0
Cremonese

Feb 9, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  0
Cagliari

Jan 25, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
AC Milan

Jan 22, 2026 - Europa League

Roma
2 :  0
Stuttgart

Jan 13, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Roma
2 :  3
Torino FC
L W W D L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Feb 15, 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Roma

Feb 2, 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  0
Roma

Jan 29, 2026 - Europa League

Panathinaikos Athens
1 :  1
Roma

Jan 18, 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
0 :  2
Roma

Jan 6, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Roma

Jan 3, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Roma

Genoa against Roma : Head to Head (H2H)

Genoa

17 %

Draw

17 %

Roma

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Dec 29, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa

Jan 17, 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
Genoa

Sep 15, 2024 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  1
Roma

May 19, 2024 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Genoa

Sep 28, 2023 - Serie A

Genoa
4 :  1
Roma

Jan 12, 2023 - Coppa Italia

Roma
1 :  0
Genoa

Genoa against Roma Lineups: Starting 11

Genoa

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

16
J. Bijlow
27
A. Marcandalli
5
L. Ostigard
22
J. Vasquez
20
S. Sabelli
32
M. Frendrup
73
P. Masini
77
M. Ellertsson
10
J. Messias
18
C. Ekuban
21
J. Ekhator
14
D. Malen
7
L. Pellegrini
20
L. Venturino
2
D. Rensch
17
M. Kone
61
N. Pisilli
19
Z. Celik
12
K. Tsimikas
5
E. Ndicka
23
G. Mancini
99
M. Svilar

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Roma

Substitutes

Genoa
Genoa
Goalkeeper

D. Sommariva

N. Leali

Defender

B. Norton-Cuffy

N. Zatterstrom

M. Doucoure

A. Martin

M. Ellertsson 79'

Midfielder

J. Onana

Amorim

R. Malinovskyi

J. Messias 64'

M. Cornet

Forward

V. Carvalho

C. Ekuban 75'

L. Colombo

J. Ekhator 64'

Roma
Roma
Goalkeeper

P. Gollini

Defender

D. Ghilardi

D. Rensch 70'

J. Ziolkowski

G. Mancini 84'

Midfielder

N. El Aynaoui

L. Pellegrini 56'

B. Zaragoza

B. Cristante

L. Venturino 46'

Forward

S. El Shaarawy

R. Vaz

Z. Celik 84'

Missing players

Genoa
Genoa
Defender

S. Otoa

Midfielder

T. Baldanzi

Roma
Roma
Defender

W. Franca

Forward

E. Ferguson

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Genoa
CD Huachipato Roma
Top Goalscorer
Italy L. Colombo (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Malen (14 Goals)
Best assists
Spain A. Martin (4 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina P. Dybala (7 Assists)

Genoa - Roma Key Points

  1. The Over is 3-2 in Genoa's last 5 games
  2. The Over is 3-2 in Roma's last 5 games
  3. Genoa are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games
  4. Roma are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games
Up to $350 to bet on Genoa - Roma! 

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Our Genoa vs Roma Prediction

On the individual front, Roma's attack has been visibly hampered by injuries. Artem Dovbyk, Paulo Dybala, Evan Ferguson, Mario Hermoso, Matias Soulé, and Stephan El Shaarawy are all currently unavailable, a staggering list of absentees that has forced Gasperini to rely on depth players and tactical creativity. Despite that, Roma have still found goals, with their scoring over 2.5 in each of their last three league games.

Genoa also have injury concerns, with goalkeeper Benjamin Siegrist and defender Sebastian Otoa both ruled out. Forward Caleb Ekuban returned from a thigh problem recently and made an immediate impact off the bench, while Vitinha and Lorenzo Colombo carry the primary offensive burden.

Roma enter as clear favorites, reflective of both the head-to-head dominance and Roma's superior league position. Roma have won 13 of their last 20 meetings with Genoa and have not lost away at Ferraris since 1990. Even missing multiple key attackers, Roma's squad depth and motivation for a top-three finish should give them the edge. Genoa will need something special to upset the visitors. Our prediction for Genoa vs. AS Roma: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

+132
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Genoa vs Roma Picks