Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Prediction & Picks - ATP Bastad Open

ATP - ATP Bastad Open

ATP 26 Argentina
Francisco Cerundolo
7/17/25 10:25
ATP 38 Argentina
Mariano Navone

Prediction:

 

Mariano Navone +2.5 Games

-125
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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

It’s an all-Argentine showdown on Thursday at the Bastad Open as Francisco Cerundolo takes on Mariano Navone for a spot in the final of this clay-court event.

Cerundolo hopes to snap a four-match losing skid in his showdown with Navone, who defeated him in their first and only matchup a year ago in the quarterfinal of the Bucharest Open 5-7 6-4 7-5. Cerundolo, who lost both his opening round matches in the French and Wimbledon Open, must regain the form that made him a fearsome opponent in the early stages of the clay-court season this year.

Navone defeated Tomas Barrios Vera 7-5 7-5 in the first round of the 2025 Nordea Open on Tuesday, extending his win streak to six matches. Navone had rattled off five consecutive wins to capture the Braunschweig Challenger a week ago. Ironically, the Argentine had to beat Francisco’s younger brother, Juan Manuel Cerundolo, in the final 6-3 7-5 to win the crown.

Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Form

Francisco Cerundolo and Mariano Navone Latest Matches

Francisco Cerundolo Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Jun 30, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Francisco Cerundolo
1 :  3
Nuno Borges

Jun 17, 2025 - ATP Halle Open

Francisco Cerundolo
1 :  2
Alex Michelsen

May 26, 2025 - ATP French Open

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  3
Gabriel Diallo

May 21, 2025 - ATP Hamburg Open

Jiri Lehecka
2 :  0
Francisco Cerundolo

May 18, 2025 - ATP Hamburg Open

Pedro Martinez
0 :  2
Francisco Cerundolo

May 13, 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Francisco Cerundolo
Mariano Navone Latest matches
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Jul 16, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
0 :  2
Mariano Navone

Jul 3, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Pedro Martinez
3 :  0
Mariano Navone

Jul 1, 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Mariano Navone
3 :  1
Denis Shapovalov

Jun 22, 2025 - ATP Mallorca Open

Mariano Navone
0 :  2
Nishesh Basavareddy

May 30, 2025 - ATP French Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  1
Mariano Navone

May 28, 2025 - ATP French Open

Reilly Opelka
0 :  3
Mariano Navone

Francisco Cerundolo - Mariano Navone Key Points

  1. Francisco Cerundolo is on a four-match losing streak.
  2. Francisco Cerundolo is 19-9 on clay.
  3. Mariano Navone is on a six-match win streak.
  4. Mariano Navone won the Braunschweig Challenger.

Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Prediction

Why should you pick Mariano Navone to cover +2.5 Games? I am picking Mariano Navone to cover +2.5 games for the simple reason that he’s on a roll, winning his 6 last six matches, coming into his second face-off with Cerundolo. In addition, Navone has already defeated Cerundolo a year ago in another clay-court tournament. It’s safe to say that the numbers favor Navone to win this match straight-up. The only thing that is preventing me from going all aboard with Navone at +120 moneyline is that Cerundolo, 19-9 on clay this year, can turn it up once he gets into his groove. Therefore, there’s still danger lurking out there for Navone in this intriguing match at Bastad.

Our betting prediction for Francisco Cerundolo vs. Mariano Navone: Mariano Navone +2.5 Games.

Prediction:

 

Mariano Navone +2.5 Games

-125
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Francisco Cerundolo vs Mariano Navone Picks