Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 27 Argentina
Francisco Cerundolo
4/27/26 09:00
ATP 18 Italy
Luciano Darderi

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+140
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

Having defeated Juan Manuel Cerundolo during the previous round, Luciano Darderi will take on Francisco Cerundolo, who is Juan Manuel's brother. The Italian looked in fine shape during the previous round, winning in straight sets, though beating the older of the two Argentines will not be as easy. These two players have played each other several times on clay and they often battle it out in entertaining fashion. The crowd in Madrid will be hoping for simialr this time around. 

Neither player has made a habit of losing in straight sets recently, while they have a history of sharing three sets. Ultimately, with this being between two closely matched players, don't be surprised to see a long, hard-fought contest, one that goes the distance, so much so that 'Over 2.5 Sets' looks like a smart move at odds of +140. 

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Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Form

Francisco Cerundolo and Luciano Darderi Latest Matches

Francisco Cerundolo Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  0
Yannick Hanfmann

Apr 17, 2026 - ATP Munich Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Francisco Cerundolo

Apr 16, 2026 - ATP Munich Open

Botic Van De Zandschulp
0 :  2
Francisco Cerundolo

Apr 13, 2026 - ATP Munich Open

Sumit Nagal
0 :  2
Francisco Cerundolo

Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  2
Tomas Machac

Apr 6, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  0
Stefanos Tsitsipas
Luciano Darderi Latest matches
W L L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
0 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Apr 15, 2026 - ATP Munich Open

Vit Kopriva
2 :  1
Luciano Darderi

Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Munich Open

Zhizhen Zhang
1 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Apr 7, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Hubert Hurkacz
2 :  1
Luciano Darderi

Apr 4, 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Luciano Darderi
0 :  2
Marco Trungelliti

Apr 1, 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II

Luciano Darderi
2 :  0
Mattia Bellucci

Francisco Cerundolo against Luciano Darderi : Head to Head (H2H)

Francisco Cerundolo

75 %

Luciano Darderi

25 %

Feb 15, 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  0
Luciano Darderi

Jul 19, 2025 - ATP Bastad Open

Francisco Cerundolo
1 :  2
Luciano Darderi

Feb 20, 2025 - ATP Rio Open

Francisco Cerundolo
2 :  1
Luciano Darderi

Feb 11, 2025 - ATP Buenos Aires

Luciano Darderi
0 :  2
Francisco Cerundolo

Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi Key Points

  1. When the pair last met on a European clay court, three sets were played.
  2. Three sets have been played in two of Cerundolo and Darderi's last three clay-court matches against each other.
  3. Three sets have been played in three of Cerundolo and Darderi's last five clay-court matches against each other.
  4. The pair are separated by just two places in the ATP Rankings.
Up to $250 to bet on Francisco Cerundolo - Luciano Darderi! 

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Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Prediction

As the rankings suggest, with Cerundolo ranked at 20 and Darderi ranked at 22, there's not much between these two. Both can be very effective clay-court players, while both took to the conditons well during the first round. Therefore, it's a little easier to assume that three sets will be played than early odds of +140 would have us believe. 

After all, the pair aren't exactly strangers to going the distance against each other, with two of their last three clay-court matches containing three sets. 

Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Pick: Over 2.5 Sets. 

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5 Sets

+140
$250 offered for betting!

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Francisco Cerundolo vs Luciano Darderi Picks