Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Hamburg Open
ATP - ATP Hamburg Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Francisco Cerundolo enters the first round of the 2026 Hamburg Open as a high-value pick to score a sweep over the skidding Alex De Minaur.
De Minaur opened as a +140 underdog ahead of his opening match in Hamburg. The Australian hasn’t had much success on clay this year, holding a 3-4 record on the surface while crashing out in the second round at Barcelona, Madrid, and Rome.
As expected, Cerundolo has put together a solid run in this clay-court swing with a 13-6 record. The Argentine reached the quarterfinals at Barcelona and the fourth round in Madrid. Boasting a 69 percent win rate on the dirt, Cerundolo is coming into the match as the favorite against a top-10 player, offers a -190 payout on the moneyline, and -130 to cover -2.5 games.
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Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex De Minaur Form
Francisco Cerundolo and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
May 10, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 28, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 17, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
May 8, 2026 - ATP Italian Open
Apr 24, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 15, 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 10, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 9, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Francisco Cerundolo against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
Mar 12, 2025 - ATP Indian Wells
Jan 17, 2025 - ATP Australian Open
Francisco Cerundolo - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Francisco Cerundolo owns a 69 percent win rate on clay.
- Francisco Cerundolo is 1-1 vs. Alex De Minaur
- Alex De Minaur is 3-4 on clay in 2026.
- Alex De Minaur is 8-5 against top-50 players in 2026.
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Our Francisco Cerundolo vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Clay-court woes: Alex De Minaur falters anew on the dirt as Francisco Cerundolo walks away with a sweep over the Aussie.
Smart Play: Take Cerundolo to win at -190. The price might not be appealing, but this feels like the safest bet for this particular match-up, given how bad De Minaur has played on clay over the past six weeks.
High-Risk, High Reward Play: Bet on Cerundolo to win in straight sets. The Argentine’s lone win over De Minaur came in last year’s Indian Wells Open, where he posted a convincing 7-6, 6-3 win. Cerundolo’s overall performance during this year’s clay-court swing pales in comparison to his 2025 clay-court form, but he remains a legitimate threat to anyone on his favorite surface.
With De Minaur’s morale hitting rock bottom, Monday’s first-round encounter in Hamburg presents Cerundolo a golden opportunity to score a convincing win over a top-10 player.
Our betting prediction for Francisco Cerundolo vs. Alex De Minaur: Francisco Cerundolo 2-0 Sets
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