Francesca Jones vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Picks - WTA Miami
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Jessica Pegula is in line to cover a massive -7.5-game handicap against Francesca Jones in the second round of the 2026 Miami Open.
Current Form:
After seeing her semifinal streak end at Indian Wells, Jessica Pegula opens a fresh bid at the 2026 Miami Open. Pegula is a -2,200 favorite to win over Francesca Jones, who defeated Venus Williams in straight sets 7-5, 7-5 in the first round.
Pegula, who lost to Elena Rybakina 1-6, 6-7 in the quarterfinals of the 2026 Indian Wells Open, is 16-3 on the season and 8-1 against players ranked below the top-20 on the WTA Tour this year.
Jones snapped a four-match losing streak with the win over Williams. The Brit has been battling an injury in her glute in the past weeks, which made the victory even sweeter. Jones, who has never played a top-10 player in her career, will need a big step up to at least compete with the world’s No.5 on Saturday.
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Francesca Jones vs Jessica Pegula Form
Francesca Jones and Jessica Pegula Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 19, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 5, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Feb 24, 2026 - ATX Open
Jan 6, 2026 - ASB Classic
Jan 5, 2026 - ASB Classic
Oct 20, 2025 - WTA Guangzhou
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 12, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 11, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 9, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Feb 21, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Feb 20, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
Francesca Jones - Jessica Pegula Key Points
- Francesca Jones will be playing her first match against a WTA top-10 player.
- Francesca Jones snapped a four-match losing streak with the win over Venus Williams.
- Jessica Pegula is 8-1 vs. players ranked below the WTA top-20 in 2026.
- Jessica Pegula is converting 45 percent of breakpoints in 2026.
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Our Francesca Jones vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
97 percent of the bets have gone to Jessica Pegula in the moneyline market. However, the real value lies in the alternative spread market, where you can score a +150 odds on Pegula to cover -7.5 games.
Jones made quite an impression in her straight-set win over Venus Williams, but the problem is that Pegula isn’t a 40+ year-old player. Pegula is at the peak of her power right now with 16 wins under her belt this season. Jones would need to play the match of her life to make this match interesting to watch, and yet, it might not be enough to beat the American.
Our betting prediction for Jessica Pegula vs. Francesca Jones: Jessica Pegula -7.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
