Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 12 USA
Frances Tiafoe
9/8/26 11:30
ATP 46 USA
Alex Michelsen

Prediction:

 

Frances Tiafoe to Win

-175
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP US Open Picks

We've reached the quarter finals of the US Open. On Tuesday, Frances Tiafoe and Alex Michelsen will lock horns, which means that at least one American player is guaranteed to feature in the semis. Tiafoe is hoping to feature in the final four at Flushing Meadows for the third time in his career, while Michelsen has already delivered a career-best effort by getting this far. Both players come into this clash off the back of winning three in a row without dropping a set. 

The way in which Frances Tiafoe saw off Daniil Medvedev, who had previously been playing some seriously high-quality tennis, suggests he means business. The American has always been capable of causing upsets, and if he's ever going to lay down a serious challenge for a Grand Slam title, then it'll be Flushing Meadows, where he's arguably at his best. Twice a US Open semi-finalist, Tiafoe is playing some of the best tennis of his career right now, and having beaten a better player last time out, he could easily be a stronger favorite ahead of a match against a competitor who has beaten several times before. 

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Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Form

Frances Tiafoe and Alex Michelsen Latest Matches

Frances Tiafoe Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 6, 2026 - ATP US Open

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  3
Frances Tiafoe

Sep 4, 2026 - ATP US Open

Valentin Vacherot
0 :  3
Frances Tiafoe

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Rei Sakamoto
0 :  3
Frances Tiafoe

Aug 31, 2026 - ATP US Open

Martin Damm Jr
2 :  3
Frances Tiafoe

Aug 23, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Arthur Fils
2 :  1
Frances Tiafoe

Aug 22, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe
Alex Michelsen Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 6, 2026 - ATP US Open

Alex Michelsen
3 :  0
Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Sep 4, 2026 - ATP US Open

Alex Michelsen
3 :  0
Daniel Merida

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Brandon Nakashima
0 :  3
Alex Michelsen

Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open

Alex Michelsen
3 :  0
Federico Cina

Aug 16, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Alex Michelsen

Aug 14, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alex Michelsen
2 :  0
Jesper De Jong

Frances Tiafoe against Alex Michelsen : Head to Head (H2H)

Frances Tiafoe

100 %

Alex Michelsen

0 %

Apr 4, 2025 - ATP Houston

Alex Michelsen
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

Feb 8, 2024 - Dallas Open

Frances Tiafoe
2 :  0
Alex Michelsen
Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Picks

Frances Tiafoe - Alex Michelsen Key Points

  1. Frances Tiafoe should be full of confidence having beaten a top-10 player in straight sets.
  2. When these two players last met, Frances Tiafoe came out on top.
  3. Frances Tiafoe won his last hard-court match against Alex Michelsen in straight sets.
  4. Frances Tiafoe has never dropped a set against Alex Michelsen.
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Our Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

Clearly, Alex Michelsen is playing well right now, but let's face it, he hasn't quite impressed as much as Frances Tiafoe has. The higher-ranked player brushed aside a former US Open winner during the previous round, and that win against a top-10 player is far from easy to overlook. Sure, Michelsen can compete, but can he really do enough to get through if the world number 12 turns up in the same mood that he did against Medvedev? It's unlikely. 

At the very least, based on the recent efforts of both and the fact that Michelsen has twice previously struggled against this opponent, Tiafoe looks to hold stronger claims than odds of -175 would have us believe. 

Our Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen Pick: Frances Tiafoe to Win.

Prediction:

 

Frances Tiafoe to Win

-175
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.