Missouri Tigers vs Florida Gators Prediction & Picks - NCAA

USA - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
10/3/26 15:30
Florida Gators

Prediction:

 

Florida Gators ML

-205
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 by Matt Lowrimore | in NCAA Picks

One of the most intriguing games on the Week 5 College Football Saturday slate will feature an SEC matchup between the 8th-ranked Florida Gators and the 25th-ranked Missouri Tigers. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Gators and the Tigers.

Florida enters this game with a record of 4-0 and 2-0 in the SEC. The Gators are coming off an impressive win in Week 4, as they beat the Ole Miss Rebels by a score of 52-28. In this game, Florida produced 498 yards of offense, while allowing 426 yards. What was most impressive about this win was that Florida had 302 yards on the ground, which looks likely to lead them to another Top-25 win. 

As for Missouri, they enter this game with a record of 3-1 and 0-1 in the SEC. The Tigers are coming off a 31-24 loss to the Mississippi State Bulldogs in Week 4, a game where they had 414 yards of offense, but allowed 499 yards. The Tigers did not play terribly in this game, but could not make enough stops on defense, which looks likely to be the main difference in this game with Florida.

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Missouri Tigers vs Florida Gators Form

Table

Missouri Tigers and Florida Gators Latest Matches

Missouri Tigers
Missouri Tigers Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 26, 2026 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
31 :  24
Missouri Tigers

Sep 19, 2026 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
27 :  17
Troy Trojans

Sep 11, 2026 - NCAA

Kansas Jayhawks
21 :  38
Missouri Tigers

Sep 3, 2026 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
54 :  14
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Dec 27, 2025 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Missouri Tigers
7 :  13
Virginia Cavaliers

Nov 29, 2025 - NCAA

Arkansas Razorbacks
17 :  31
Missouri Tigers
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 19, 2026 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
27 :  17
Troy Trojans

Sep 3, 2026 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
54 :  14
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Dec 27, 2025 - NCAA Division I, FBS, Playoffs

Missouri Tigers
7 :  13
Virginia Cavaliers

Nov 15, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
49 :  27
Mississippi State Bulldogs

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
17 :  38
Texas A&M Aggies

Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA

Missouri Tigers
24 :  27
Alabama Crimson Tide
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 26, 2026 - NCAA

Mississippi State Bulldogs
31 :  24
Missouri Tigers

Sep 11, 2026 - NCAA

Kansas Jayhawks
21 :  38
Missouri Tigers

Nov 29, 2025 - NCAA

Arkansas Razorbacks
17 :  31
Missouri Tigers

Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA

Oklahoma Sooners
17 :  6
Missouri Tigers

Oct 25, 2025 - NCAA

Vanderbilt Commodores
17 :  10
Missouri Tigers

Oct 18, 2025 - NCAA

Auburn Tigers
17 :  23
Missouri Tigers
Florida Gators
Florida Gators Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Sep 26, 2026 - NCAA

Florida Gators
52 :  28
Ole Miss Rebels

Sep 19, 2026 - NCAA

Auburn Tigers
39 :  44
Florida Gators

Sep 12, 2026 - NCAA

Florida Gators
52 :  3
Campbell Fighting Camels

Sep 5, 2026 - NCAA

Florida Gators
66 :  21
Florida Atlantic Owls

Nov 29, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
40 :  21
Florida State Seminoles

Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
11 :  31
Tennessee Volunteers
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 26, 2026 - NCAA

Florida Gators
52 :  28
Ole Miss Rebels

Sep 12, 2026 - NCAA

Florida Gators
52 :  3
Campbell Fighting Camels

Sep 5, 2026 - NCAA

Florida Gators
66 :  21
Florida Atlantic Owls

Nov 29, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
40 :  21
Florida State Seminoles

Nov 22, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
11 :  31
Tennessee Volunteers

Nov 1, 2025 - NCAA

Florida Gators
20 :  24
Georgia Bulldogs
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Sep 19, 2026 - NCAA

Auburn Tigers
39 :  44
Florida Gators

Nov 15, 2025 - NCAA

Ole Miss Rebels
34 :  24
Florida Gators

Nov 8, 2025 - NCAA

Kentucky Wildcats
38 :  7
Florida Gators

Oct 11, 2025 - NCAA

Texas A&M Aggies
34 :  17
Florida Gators

Sep 20, 2025 - NCAA

Miami Hurricanes
26 :  7
Florida Gators

Sep 13, 2025 - NCAA

LSU Tigers
20 :  10
Florida Gators
Missouri Tigers vs Florida Gators Picks

Missouri Tigers - Florida Gators Key Points

  1. Florida is averaging 53.5 points per game this season
  2. Florida is allowing 22.8 points per game this season
  3. Missouri is averaging 35.8 points per game this season
  4. Missouri is allowing 20.8 points per game this season
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Our Missouri Tigers vs Florida Gators Prediction

Florida is the clear favorite in this game; however, they still look to be the best betting option. This goes back to how efficient the Gators have been on offense this season. Florida is averaging 53.5 points per game, led by their elite rushing attack. More specifically, running back Jadan Baugh has 600 yards rushing and 11 touchdowns through the first four weeks of the season.

Missouri, on the other hand, has been solid offensively, as they are averaging 35.8 points per game. That said, they struggled on defense against Mississippi State. 

Simply put, Florida is starting to look like a team that could make a surprise run at the National Championship; therefore, our Florida Gators vs. Missouri Tigers prediction is: Florida Gators ML.

Prediction:

 

Florida Gators ML

-205
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.