Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction & Picks - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Fiorentina
5/22/26 14:45
Atalanta

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals.

+115
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 by Stephen Abiola | in Serie A Picks

Fiorentina and Atalanta will play for maximum points when they face off on Friday night at Artemio Franchi Stadium. Fiorentina has dealt with relegation battles throughout this season, with their attack being somewhat responsible for their struggles. However, they ensured their Serie A survival against Juventus last Sunday with a 2-0 win on the road. It was a spirited performance from the visitors, who clinched the win despite Luca Ranieri’s 70th-minute red card.

Atalanta, meanwhile, has struggled to replicate their last season’s form that saw them clinch a Champions League spot. They’re already out for the running to participate in next season’s edition, sitting in position seven with 58 points. The visitors will know that a defeat on Friday night could see Bologna pip them for the UEFA Conference League spot. Thankfully for them, even a draw would see them clinch the seventh spot.

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Fiorentina vs Atalanta Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Atalanta
59 38 15 14 9 +15
15 Fiorentina
42 38 9 15 14 -9

Fiorentina and Atalanta Latest Matches

Fiorentina
Fiorentina Latest matches
W D D L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

May 17, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  2
Fiorentina

May 10, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Genoa

May 4, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

Apr 26, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Sassuolo

Apr 20, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Apr 16, 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Crystal Palace
W D W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

May 10, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Genoa

Apr 26, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Sassuolo

Apr 16, 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Crystal Palace

Apr 13, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Lazio

Mar 22, 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Inter Milan

Mar 12, 2026 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
RKS Rakow Czestochowa
W W L D L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

May 17, 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
0 :  2
Fiorentina

May 4, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

Apr 20, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  1
Fiorentina

Apr 9, 2026 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
3 :  0
Fiorentina

Apr 4, 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
0 :  1
Fiorentina

Mar 19, 2026 - Conference League

RKS Rakow Czestochowa
1 :  2
Fiorentina
Atalanta
Atalanta Latest matches
D D L D W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

May 17, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Bologna

May 10, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  3
Atalanta

May 2, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Genoa

Apr 27, 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  2
Atalanta

Apr 22, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
1 :  1
Lazio

Apr 18, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta
L W L D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

May 17, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Bologna

May 2, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Genoa

Apr 22, 2026 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
1 :  1
Lazio

Apr 11, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  1
Juventus

Mar 22, 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

Mar 10, 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
1 :  6
Bayern Munich
D L W D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

May 10, 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  3
Atalanta

Apr 27, 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
3 :  2
Atalanta

Apr 18, 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta

Apr 6, 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  3
Atalanta

Mar 18, 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Atalanta

Mar 14, 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Atalanta

Fiorentina against Atalanta : Head to Head (H2H)

Fiorentina

50 %

Draw

0 %

Atalanta

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.17
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Nov 30, 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

Mar 30, 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta

Sep 15, 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
3 :  2
Fiorentina

Jun 2, 2024 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  3
Fiorentina

Apr 24, 2024 - Coppa Italia

Atalanta
4 :  1
Fiorentina

Apr 3, 2024 - Coppa Italia

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Atalanta
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Picks

Fiorentina against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11

Fiorentina

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

53
O. Christensen
2
Dodo
3
D. Rugani
15
P. Comuzzo
21
R. Gosens
80
G. Fabbian
8
R. Mandragora
4
M. Brescianini
17
J. Harrison
91
R. Piccoli
10
A. Gudmundsson
18
G. Raspadori
7
K. Sulemana
10
L. Samardzic
6
Y. Musah
8
M. Pasalic
15
M. De Roon
16
R. Bellanova
69
H. Ahanor
4
I. Hien
42
G. Scalvini
57
M. Sportiello

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Atalanta

Substitutes

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Goalkeeper

L. Lezzerini

O. Christensen 87'

D. De Gea

Defender

L. Balbo

R. Gosens 76'

N. Fortini

M. Pongracic

D. Rugani 67'

Midfielder

N. Fagioli

C. Ndour

M. Brescianini 67'

M. Solomon

A. Gudmundsson 76'

Forward

R. Braschi

G. Puzzoli

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

M. Carnesecchi

F. Rossi

Defender

M. Bakker

R. Obric

S. Kolasinac

B. Djimsiti

G. Scalvini 67'

D. Zappacosta

R. Bellanova 46'

Midfielder

E. Silva

N. Zalewski

Forward

N. Krstovic

C. De Ketelaere

L. Samardzic 62'

D. Vavassori

K. Sulemana 81'

G. Scamacca

M. de Roon 81'

Missing players

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

L. Ranieri

F. Parisi

Midfielder

J. Fazzini

Forward

M. Kean

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

O. Kossounou

L. Bernasconi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Fiorentina
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (10 Goals) ,  Montenegro N. Krstovic (10 Goals)
Best assists
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (4 Assists)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (5 Assists) , 
Poland N. Zalewski (5 Assists) , 
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (5 Assists)

Fiorentina - Atalanta Key Points

  1. The total goals went under 2.5 in four of the last five Fiorentina matches.
  2. The total goals went under 2.5 in four of the last five Fiorentina vs Atalanta matches.
  3. The total goals went under 2.5 in five of the last seven Atalanta matches.
  4. Fiorentina won or drew 12 of their last 14 matches all-time.
Up to $150 to bet on Fiorentina - Atalanta! 

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Our Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction

Atalanta has the bigger fish to fry in this contest and is the +142 favorite. They’ll try to win and hope that Bologna loses to the champions Inter Milan on the last day of the league. Having said that, we expect the total points to stay under 2.5 because both sides have struggled to impress in attack lately. Atalanta have fired blanks in two of their last three games while scoring over 1.5 goals only twice in their previous seven matches. Fiorentina are even slower in offense, having failed to score in three of their last four matches. With nothing much to play for this weekend, Paolo Vanoli could field some fringe squad players against Atalanta. We predict a 1-0 win for the visitors.

Our prediction for Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Under 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Under 2.5 goals.

+115
$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.