Sweden vs Finland Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Sweden
8/27/25 13:30
Finland

Prediction:

 

Finland (-11.5) cover the spread

-110
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 by Paul Tamayo in EuroBasket Picks

Sweden takes on Finland on Wednesday, August 27, at the Tampere Deck Arena in Finland. 

It's a home game for Finland, a big energy booster for star forward Lauri Markkanen and company. They're coming off a great summer, going undefeated in their four preparation games ahead of the tournament.

The caveat is that Finland only went up against two teams, Belgium and Poland. Those are not considered perennial contenders for this year's EuroBasket. Still, a win is a win. 

Markkanen is the only Finnish player with NBA experience on the team. But look out for young gun Miikka Muurinen. The 6'9 young gun averaged 16.9 points during the 2023 U16 European Championship, and is a consensus five-star recruit in the class of 2026. 

Meanwhile, Sweden went 1-4 in their preparation games. They're not considered contenders this year, and are slotted at the bottom four of the latest FIBA EuroBasket power rankings. 

Miami Heat sophomore guard Pelle Larsson will lead the charge for the Swedish. Larsson appeared in 55 regular season games for the Heat last year, and started in eight. He could be a rising star in the 2025 EuroBasket.

Also look out for key names like Melwin Pantzar and Simon Birgander for Sweden.

Up to $300 to bet on Sweden - Finland! 

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Sweden vs Finland Form

Table

Teams % P W L
3
Finland
Finland
8 5 3 2
4
Sweden
Sweden
6 5 1 4

Sweden and Finland Latest Matches

Sweden
Sweden Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Sweden
87 :  88
Estonia

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Portugal
78 :  61
Sweden

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Sweden
70 :  73
Iceland

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
74 :  72
Sweden

Feb 23, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Sweden
86 :  83
Montenegro

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Bulgaria
81 :  77
Sweden
W L L
Victories

1/3 (33%)

Defeats

2/3 (67%)

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Sweden
87 :  88
Estonia

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Sweden
70 :  73
Iceland

Feb 23, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Sweden
86 :  83
Montenegro
L L L
Victories

0/3 (0%)

Defeats

3/3 (100%)

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Portugal
78 :  61
Sweden

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
74 :  72
Sweden

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Bulgaria
81 :  77
Sweden
Finland
Finland Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
106 :  87
Poland

Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
88 :  97
Finland

Aug 11, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
92 :  74
Belgium

Aug 8, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
105 :  62
Belgium

Feb 24, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Denmark
77 :  83
Finland

Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Finland
95 :  105
Serbia
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
106 :  87
Poland

Aug 11, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
92 :  74
Belgium

Aug 8, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
105 :  62
Belgium

Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Finland
95 :  105
Serbia

Sep 2, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Finland
90 :  75
Venezuela

Aug 25, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Finland
72 :  98
Australia
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
88 :  97
Finland

Feb 24, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Denmark
77 :  83
Finland

Aug 31, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Cape Verde
77 :  100
Finland

Aug 29, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Germany
101 :  75
Finland

Aug 27, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Japan
98 :  88
Finland

Sep 13, 2022 - EuroBasket

Spain
100 :  90
Finland

Players list

Sweden
Sweden
V. Gaddefors Goalkeeper

P. Larsson

L. Hakanson

M. Pantzar

Forward

S. Birgander

Finland
Finland
L. Markkanen Goalkeeper

E. Maxhuni

S. Salin

Forward

M. Jantunen

E. Valtonen

Substitutes

Sweden
Sweden
M. Markusson A. Ramstedt Goalkeeper

T. Borg

B. Njie

Forward

D. Andersson

W. Falk

N. Spires

Finland
Finland
A. Madsen Goalkeeper

M. Little

A. Gustavson

J. Grandison

I. Seppala

Forward

O. Nkamhoua

M. Muurinen

Sweden - Finland Key Points

  1. Finland is led by NBA star Lauri Markkanen and young gun Miikka Muurinen.
  2. Sweden is led by sophomore NBA guard Pelle Larsson.
  3. Finland won all of their four preparation games.
  4. Sweden lost four of their five preparation games.
Up to $300 to bet on Sweden - Finland! 

Limited Offer. Currently at FanDuel

Our Sweden vs Finland Prediction

Sweden is one of the underwhelming rosters in this year's EuroBasket. They've also lost four of their five preparation games, which isn't a good sign.

On the other hand, Finland went undefeated in four preparation games. NBA star Lauri Markkanen is in his peak form, so expect him to put up at least 20 points every game. Look out for young Finnish Miika Muurinen as well. Our prediction for the Sweden vs Finland match is: Finland (-11.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Finland (-11.5) cover the spread

-110
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