Finland vs Sweden Prediction & Picks - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Finland
8/27/25 13:30
Sweden

Prediction:

 

Finland (-11.5) cover the spread

-110
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 by Paul Tamayo in EuroBasket Picks

Sweden takes on Finland on Wednesday, August 27, at the Tampere Deck Arena in Finland. 

It's a home game for Finland, a big energy booster for star forward Lauri Markkanen and company. They're coming off a great summer, going undefeated in their four preparation games ahead of the tournament.

The caveat is that Finland only went up against two teams, Belgium and Poland. Those are not considered perennial contenders for this year's EuroBasket. Still, a win is a win. 

Markkanen is the only Finnish player with NBA experience on the team. But look out for young gun Miikka Muurinen. The 6'9 young gun averaged 16.9 points during the 2023 U16 European Championship, and is a consensus five-star recruit in the class of 2026. 

Meanwhile, Sweden went 1-4 in their preparation games. They're not considered contenders this year, and are slotted at the bottom four of the latest FIBA EuroBasket power rankings. 

Miami Heat sophomore guard Pelle Larsson will lead the charge for the Swedish. Larsson appeared in 55 regular season games for the Heat last year, and started in eight. He could be a rising star in the 2025 EuroBasket.

Also look out for key names like Melwin Pantzar and Simon Birgander for Sweden.

Up to $300 to bet on Finland - Sweden! 

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Finland vs Sweden Form

Finland and Sweden Latest Matches

Finland
Finland Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
87 :  106
Finland

Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
97 :  88
Poland

Aug 11, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Belgium
74 :  92
Finland

Aug 8, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Belgium
62 :  105
Finland

Feb 24, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Finland
83 :  77
Denmark

Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Serbia
105 :  95
Finland
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 21, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
87 :  106
Finland

Aug 11, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Belgium
74 :  92
Finland

Aug 8, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Belgium
62 :  105
Finland

Feb 21, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Serbia
105 :  95
Finland

Nov 21, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Georgia
90 :  83
Finland

Sep 2, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Venezuela
75 :  90
Finland
L L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Aug 17, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Finland
97 :  88
Poland

Feb 24, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Finland
83 :  77
Denmark

Nov 24, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Finland
64 :  81
Georgia

Aug 31, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Finland
100 :  77
Cape Verde

Aug 29, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Finland
75 :  101
Germany

Aug 27, 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Finland
88 :  98
Japan
Sweden
Sweden Latest matches
L W L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Estonia
88 :  87
Sweden

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Sweden
61 :  78
Portugal

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Iceland
73 :  70
Sweden

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Sweden
72 :  74
Poland

Feb 23, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Montenegro
83 :  86
Sweden

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Sweden
77 :  81
Bulgaria
W W L L
Victories

2/4 (50%)

Defeats

2/4 (50%)

Aug 20, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Estonia
88 :  87
Sweden

Aug 14, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Iceland
73 :  70
Sweden

Feb 23, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Montenegro
83 :  86
Sweden

Nov 22, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Germany
72 :  73
Sweden
L L L L
Victories

0/4 (0%)

Defeats

4/4 (100%)

Aug 16, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Sweden
61 :  78
Portugal

Aug 10, 2025 - International Friendly Games

Sweden
72 :  74
Poland

Feb 20, 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Sweden
77 :  81
Bulgaria

Nov 25, 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Sweden
61 :  80
Germany

Finland - Sweden Key Points

  1. Finland is led by NBA star Lauri Markkanen and young gun Miikka Muurinen.
  2. Sweden is led by sophomore NBA guard Pelle Larsson.
  3. Finland won all of their four preparation games.
  4. Sweden lost four of their five preparation games.
Up to $300 to bet on Finland - Sweden! 

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Our Finland vs Sweden Prediction

Sweden is one of the underwhelming rosters in this year's EuroBasket. They've also lost four of their five preparation games, which isn't a good sign.

On the other hand, Finland went undefeated in four preparation games. NBA star Lauri Markkanen is in his peak form, so expect him to put up at least 20 points every game. Look out for young Finnish Miika Muurinen as well. Our prediction for the Sweden vs Finland match is: Finland (-11.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Finland (-11.5) cover the spread

-110
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Finland vs Sweden Picks
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