Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Picks - ATP Dubai Open
ATP - ATP Dubai Open
Prediction:
Daniil Medvedev Win + Daniil Medvedev -2.5 Games (2-Leg Parlay)
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Daniil Medvedev looks to re-establish his superiority against Felix Auger-Aliassime in Saturday’s semifinals at the 2026 Dubai Tennis Championships.
Hot Pick: Daniil Medvedev Win + Daniil Medvedev -2.5 Games (2-Leg Parlay)
Potential Payout: $213 on a $100 Bet (+113 on Fan Duel)
Current Form:
Felix Auger-Aliassime draws closer to another ATP hard-court title after sweeping Jiri Lehecka 6-3, 7-6. Auger-Aliassime, 12-3 on the 2026 ATP season, depended heavily on his service game anew to hold all his serves while securing two key service breaks against the Czech. The Canadian targets a third final appearance on the tour after winning at Montpellier and finishing runner-up to Alex De Minaur at Rotterdam.
Facing the red-hot Auger-Aliassime is ATP veteran and former Grand Slam winner Daniil Medvedev, who preserved his immaculate 6-0 sets record in Dubai after blasting Jenson Brooksby 6-2, 6-1 in the quarterfinals. Medvedev is now 12-3 on the season, averaging 9 aces per match and saving 65 percent of breakpoints.
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Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Form
Felix Auger Aliassime and Daniil Medvedev Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Feb 26, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 23, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 15, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
Feb 14, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
Feb 13, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Feb 26, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 24, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open
Feb 18, 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
Feb 16, 2026 - ATP Qatar Open
Feb 9, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
Felix Auger Aliassime against Daniil Medvedev : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Jul 31, 2024 - Olympic Tournament
Jan 20, 2024 - ATP Australian Open
Feb 24, 2023 - ATP Qatar Open
Feb 17, 2023 - ATP Rotterdam
Jan 26, 2022 - ATP Australian Open
Sep 10, 2021 - ATP US Open
Felix Auger Aliassime - Daniil Medvedev Key Points
- Daniil Medvedev is 12-3 on the 2026 ATP season
- Daniil Medvedev has dropped only one service game at the 2026 Dubai Tennis Championships.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime targets his third consecutive final on the ATP Tour.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime has yet to drop a service game in Dubai.
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Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Daniil Medvedev nips Felix Auger-Aliassime in a thriller 7-6, 4-6, 7-6
While Medvedev on the moneyline market already offers a solid value at -130, pairing this pick with Medvedev -2.5 games turns your wager into a two-leg parlay with a more profitable +113 value.
Auger-Aliassime is a dangerous foe, especially if his serving game is on, but his recent final performance against another prominent top-10 player in Alex De Minaur at Rotterdam opens a world of possibilities for a seasoned Medvedev to capitalize.
Medvedev is 7-2 head-to-head vs. Auger-Aliassime and has only lost at the Paris Olympics on his least favorite surface (clay) at the 2025 Qatar Open when he had a night start in 2025. With a 12-3 record in 2026, Medvedev is surely in the right form to beat the Canadian convincingly this tiume around.
Our betting prediction for Daniil Medvedev vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Daniil Medvedev wins + Daniil Medvdev -2.5 Games
Prediction:
Daniil Medvedev Win + Daniil Medvedev -2.5 Games (2-Leg Parlay)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.