Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Picks - ATP Dubai Open

ATP - ATP Dubai Open

ATP 6 Canada
Felix Auger Aliassime
2/27/26 08:00
ATP 8
Daniil Medvedev

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev Win + Daniil Medvedev -2.5 Games (2-Leg Parlay)

+113
$350 offered for betting!

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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Daniil Medvedev looks to re-establish his superiority against Felix Auger-Aliassime in Saturday’s semifinals at the 2026 Dubai Tennis Championships.

Hot Pick: Daniil Medvedev Win + Daniil Medvedev -2.5 Games (2-Leg Parlay)

Potential Payout: $213 on a $100 Bet (+113 on Fan Duel)

Current Form:

Felix Auger-Aliassime draws closer to another ATP hard-court title after sweeping Jiri Lehecka 6-3, 7-6. Auger-Aliassime, 12-3 on the 2026 ATP season, depended heavily on his service game anew to hold all his serves while securing two key service breaks against the Czech. The Canadian targets a third final appearance on the tour after winning at Montpellier and finishing runner-up to Alex De Minaur at Rotterdam.

Facing the red-hot Auger-Aliassime is ATP veteran and former Grand Slam winner Daniil Medvedev, who preserved his immaculate 6-0 sets record in Dubai after blasting Jenson Brooksby 6-2, 6-1 in the quarterfinals. Medvedev is now 12-3 on the season, averaging 9 aces per match and saving 65 percent of breakpoints.

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Form

Felix Auger Aliassime and Daniil Medvedev Latest Matches

Felix Auger Aliassime Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Feb 26, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  0
Jiri Lehecka

Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  0
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Feb 23, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  0
Zhizhen Zhang

Feb 15, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Alex De Minaur
2 :  0
Felix Auger Aliassime

Feb 14, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Alexander Bublik
0 :  2
Felix Auger Aliassime

Feb 13, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Tallon Griekspoor
0 :  2
Felix Auger Aliassime
Daniil Medvedev Latest matches
L W L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Feb 26, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Jenson Brooksby

Feb 25, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Stan Wawrinka

Feb 24, 2026 - ATP Dubai Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Juncheng Shang

Feb 18, 2026 - ATP Qatar Open

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Feb 16, 2026 - ATP Qatar Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Juncheng Shang

Feb 9, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam

Daniil Medvedev
1 :  2
Ugo Humbert

Felix Auger Aliassime against Daniil Medvedev : Head to Head (H2H)

Felix Auger Aliassime

17 %

Daniil Medvedev

83 %

Jul 31, 2024 - Olympic Tournament

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

Jan 20, 2024 - ATP Australian Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
0 :  3
Daniil Medvedev

Feb 24, 2023 - ATP Qatar Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Felix Auger Aliassime

Feb 17, 2023 - ATP Rotterdam

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Felix Auger Aliassime

Jan 26, 2022 - ATP Australian Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  3
Daniil Medvedev

Sep 10, 2021 - ATP US Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
0 :  3
Daniil Medvedev

Felix Auger Aliassime - Daniil Medvedev Key Points

  1. Daniil Medvedev is 12-3 on the 2026 ATP season
  2. Daniil Medvedev has dropped only one service game at the 2026 Dubai Tennis Championships.
  3. Felix Auger-Aliassime targets his third consecutive final on the ATP Tour.
  4. Felix Auger-Aliassime has yet to drop a service game in Dubai.

Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Daniil Medvedev nips Felix Auger-Aliassime in a thriller 7-6, 4-6, 7-6

While Medvedev on the moneyline market already offers a solid value at -130, pairing this pick with Medvedev -2.5 games turns your wager into a two-leg parlay with a more profitable +113 value.

Auger-Aliassime is a dangerous foe, especially if his serving game is on, but his recent final performance against another prominent top-10 player in Alex De Minaur at Rotterdam opens a world of possibilities for a seasoned Medvedev to capitalize.

Medvedev is 7-2 head-to-head vs. Auger-Aliassime and has only lost at the Paris Olympics on his least favorite surface (clay) at the 2025 Qatar Open when he had a night start in 2025. With a 12-3 record in 2026, Medvedev is surely in the right form to beat the Canadian convincingly this tiume around.

Our betting prediction for Daniil Medvedev vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Daniil Medvedev wins + Daniil Medvdev -2.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev Win + Daniil Medvedev -2.5 Games (2-Leg Parlay)

+113
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Felix Auger Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedev Picks