Felix Auger Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Prediction & Picks - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Picks
Casper Ruud eyes a payback win over Felix Auger-Aliassime in their second clay-court meeting this season in the third round of the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters.
After a successful run in the UTS, Felix Auger-Aliassime sustained his hot run on clay with a straight-set win over Marin Cilic 7-6, 6-3. Casper Ruud also barged into the third round with his second sweep of the tournament, dispatching Corentin Moutet 7-5, 6-3. Ruud also defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-3, 6-4 in the first round.
Matchup: This will be the 11th meeting between Auger-Aliassime and Casper Ruud, including a recent UTS match in Nimmes won by the Canadian. Auger-Aliassime leads the series 6-4, but Thursday’s match will mark their first meeting on clay. Auger-Aliassime carries a 64 percent win rate on clay. Ruud holds a 69 percent win rate on the dirt.
Hot on the Board: Auger-Aliassime is a +125 underdog despite his recent win over Ruud in a UTS clay-court match. Ruud, a former French Open finalist, is listed at -160 as the favorite and -130 to cover -1.5 games. The total is over/under 22.5 games.
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Felix Auger Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Form
Felix Auger Aliassime and Casper Ruud Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 23, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 10, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 8, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 6, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 7, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 11, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 9, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Felix Auger Aliassime against Casper Ruud : Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
Aug 16, 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Aug 1, 2024 - Olympic Tournament
Apr 30, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Aug 12, 2022 - ATP National Bank Open
Felix Auger Aliassime - Casper Ruud Key Points
- Casper Ruud owns a 69 percent win rate on clay.
- Casper Ruud has a 65 percent win rate in third-round matches.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime owns a 64 percent win rate on clay.
- Felix Auger-Aliassime is 6-4 vs. Casper Ruud
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Our Felix Auger Aliassime vs Casper Ruud Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Casper Ruud tops Felix Auger-Aliassime 6-4, 5-7, 6-4
Best Pick: Casper Ruud -1.5 games
Ruud is my pick to win in this match just for being the more accomplished player on this surface. Auger-Aliassime has had a promising run at the UTS Nimmes, but everybody knows this was only an exhibition tournament.
Moreover, Ruud has put on a clinic in his first two matches in Monte Carlo, saving 62.5 percent of break points and converting 57.1 percent of his break chances. Aliassime is the better ball-striker of the two, but Ruud’s footwork and caliber on clay give him the edge here.
Our betting prediction for Casper Ruud vs. Felix Auger-Aliassime: Casper Ruud -1.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
