Elmer Moller vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

Prediction published on 8/26/25, 4:27 PM  by Tyler Doty in ATP US Open Picks

The US Open is the only Grand Slam tournament where Tommy Paul has not reached the quarterfinals. In the last two years, the American has lost in the round of 16, and this year, the world number 14 hopes to break through this glass ceiling. But the Floridian, despite being very consistent at the highest level, has been struggling this summer. Surprise eliminations in the first round at Eastbourne and in the second round at Wimbledon have hurt the American's morale. Preferring to take a little rest before tackling the final part of the season, Tommy Paul made his comeback in Cincinnati with another mixed result, losing in the third round to Adrian Mannarino, which is not ideal before starting the US Open on Monday.

Elmer Moller, 22, will be making his US Open debut this year, having made his Grand Slam debut in 2025 (first round at the French Open and Wimbledon). Ranked 110th in the ATP rankings, the Dane has yet to win on the ATP Tour this year, with five defeats in as many matches. The Scandinavian needs to take this next step in the elite, having performed well on the Challenger circuit with two titles this season in Iasi and Oeiras. In this first round, Elmer Moller will have his work cut out against the ever-solid Tommy Paul. The match will provide valuable experience for the Dane, who is set to discover Flushing Meadows, always a career highlight.