Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Prediction & Picks - WTA National Bank Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Naomi Osaka eyes an emphatic win over Elise Mertens in the third round of the 2026 Canadian Open.
A $100 bet on Osaka to cover -5.5 games could pay $260 at DraftKings.
Current Form:
Naomi Osaka made quick work of Panna Udvardy 6-3, 6-4 to reach the third round of the 2026 Canadian Open. Osaka, who fired 10 aces and won 88 percent of her first serves, has won 3 of her last 4 matches and is coming off a semifinal run in Washington a week ago.
Elise Mertens also hurdled her first test in Toronto, taking down Anna Bondar 3-6, 6-4, 6-4. Mertens converted 6 break chances and won 82 percent of her first serves to complete the comeback win. The Belgian is 12-6 on the hard court in 2026.
The Matchup: Mertens and Osaka have played each other 9 times, with Osaka holding a slight 5-4 lead. Osaka also won the last encounter at Bad Homburg, sweeping the Belgian 6-3, 6-3.
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Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Form
Elise Mertens and Naomi Osaka Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 5, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Jul 8, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 6, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 4, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 2, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 30, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Aug 5, 2026 - WTA National Bank Open
Aug 1, 2026 - WTA Washington Citi Open
Jul 31, 2026 - WTA Washington Citi Open
Jul 7, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 5, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jul 3, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Elise Mertens against Naomi Osaka : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
Jun 23, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Aug 8, 2024 - WTA National Bank Open
Jun 11, 2024 - WTA Libema Open
Elise Mertens - Naomi Osaka Key Points
- Elise Mertens is 12-6 on the hard court in 2026.
- Elise Mertens is 4-8 vs. top-20 players in 2026.
- Naomi Osaka has won 3 of her last 4 matches during the North American hard-court season.
- Naomi Osaka owns a 66.9 percent win rate on the hard court.
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Our Elise Mertens vs Naomi Osaka Prediction
The Difference Maker: Osaka arrived in Toronto already in tip-top form after reaching the semifinals at Washington. She proved just that with a relatively easy win over Panna Udvardy.
Meanwhile, Mertens shook off a rusty start to beat Anna Bondar.
What to Expect: Osaka gets off to a hot start, wrapping up the first set in under an hour before putting the finishing touches to defeat Mertens in straight sets.
Mertens is a dangerous player at any stage of a tournament, but Osaka’s hard-court game is peaking up quite nicely.
Fearless Forecast: Naomi Osaka wins 6-3, 6-3
Our betting prediction for Naomi Osaka vs. Elise Mertens: Naomi Osaka -5.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
