Elise Mertens vs Belinda Bencic Prediction & Picks - WTA Indian Wells

WTA - WTA Indian Wells

WTA 21 Belgium
Elise Mertens
3/9/26 17:10
WTA 11 Switzerland
Belinda Bencic

Prediction:

 

Belinda Bencic to Win

-109
$250 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

Also happening at the BNP Paribas Open on Monday is a match between two players who are closely matched according to the WTA Rankings. Elise Mertens, who is ranked 21st in the world, will take on current world number 12 Belinda Bencic. The Swiss player has previously enjoyed her time in Indian Wells, reaching the quarter-finals in 2025, while she also reached the semi-final stage back in 2019, so we know that she's capable of doing very well on these courts. She arrives here off the back of a convincing first-round win. 

Elise Mertens also got the job done in convincing fashion during the first round, but she now has a much fuller portion on her plate. In other words, the Belgian player cannot be expected to perform as well in this match. She may well get over the line, but if she does, she'll have to battle really hard, and in recent times, when she's been up against it in matches with top players, she's struggled to be at her best. 

Up to $250 to bet on Elise Mertens - Belinda Bencic! 

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Elise Mertens vs Belinda Bencic Form

Elise Mertens and Belinda Bencic Latest Matches

Elise Mertens Latest matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 7, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells

Elise Mertens
2 :  0
Cristina Bucsa

Feb 18, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Coco Gauff
2 :  1
Elise Mertens

Feb 17, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Elise Mertens
2 :  0
Emma Navarro

Feb 15, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Marie Bouzkova
0 :  2
Elise Mertens

Feb 10, 2026 - WTA Doha

Daria Kasatkina
2 :  0
Elise Mertens

Feb 8, 2026 - WTA Doha

Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
0 :  2
Elise Mertens
Belinda Bencic Latest matches
W W L W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Mar 7, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells

Storm Sanders
0 :  2
Belinda Bencic

Feb 18, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Belinda Bencic
1 :  2
Elina Svitolina

Feb 16, 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships

Belinda Bencic
2 :  1
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Jan 22, 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Nikola Bartunkova
2 :  1
Belinda Bencic

Jan 20, 2026 - WTA Australian Open

Katie Boulter
0 :  2
Belinda Bencic

Jan 11, 2026 - United Cup

Iga Swiatek
1 :  2
Belinda Bencic

Elise Mertens against Belinda Bencic : Head to Head (H2H)

Elise Mertens

0 %

Belinda Bencic

100 %

Jan 9, 2026 - United Cup

Belinda Bencic
2 :  1
Elise Mertens

Elise Mertens - Belinda Bencic Key Points

  1. When the pair last met, Belinda Bencic came out on top.
  2. Belinda Bencic has reached the semi-finals and the quarter-finals at this tournament before.
  3. Elise Mertens has never reached the quarter-finals in Indian Wells.
  4. Belinda Bencic has a won 15 and lost 9 previous Indian Wells matches.
  5. Elise Mertens has won 7 and lost 9 previous Indian Wells matches.
Up to $250 to bet on Elise Mertens - Belinda Bencic! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Caesars Sportsbook

Our Elise Mertens vs Belinda Bencic Prediction

For my money, Belinda Bencic should be a shorter price to beat Elise Mertens. First of all, when the pair last met, the Swiss competitor defeated her Belgian opponent, while it is Bencic who has the better record at this tournament, where she has twice gone to the quarter finals or beyond, including in 2025. In recent weeks, she's been a little in and out of form, but the same can be said for Mertens, while we shouldn't ignore the fact that Bencic has already won a tournament in 2026, so we know she can handle the pressure, which is not always something that Mertens can do.

Bencic has 15 previous wins in Indian Wells, losing nine times. In contrast, Mertens has only seven previous Indian Wells wins under her belt, also losing nine. That's enough for me to conclude that Bencic should be a stronger favorite than she currently is. 

Our Elise Mertens vs Belinda Bencic Pick: Belinda Bencic to Win.

Prediction:

 

Belinda Bencic to Win

-109
$250 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Elise Mertens vs Belinda Bencic Picks