Elena Rybakina vs Tereza Valentova Prediction & Picks - WTA Australian Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Elena Rybakina of Kazakhstan is listed as a 5.5-game favorite against the super-talented Tereza Valentova of the Czech Republic in the third round of the 2026 Australian Open.
Recommended Pick: Elena Rybakina -5.5 games
Potential Payout: $210 for every $110 Bet.
Current Form:
Rybakina improved her 2026 record to 4-1 after delivering another clean performance against Varvara Gracheva 7-5, 6-2. Ranked No.5 in the world, Rybakina is averaging 5 aces per match and winning 79.5 percent of her first serves. She has also converted 7 of 9 breakpoints in two matches in Melbourne.
Valentova is through to her first round-of-32 appearance in a Grand Slam event after coming out on top in her battle with fellow Czech Linda Fruhvirtova 7-5, 2-6, 6-3. Valentova, who eliminated Maya Joint in the first round 6-4, 6-4, scored 3 of her 7 breakpoint conversions in the final sets to put Fruhvirtova away. Tereza Valentova has converted 12 of 34 break-point chances at this year’s Australian Open.
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Elena Rybakina vs Tereza Valentova Form
Elena Rybakina and Tereza Valentova Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Jan 22, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 19, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 8, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Jan 7, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Jan 6, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Nov 8, 2025 - WTA Doha
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Jan 22, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 19, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Jan 13, 2026 - WTA Adelaide
Jan 10, 2026 - WTA Adelaide
Jan 9, 2026 - WTA Adelaide
Jan 5, 2026 - WTA Brisbane
Elena Rybakina against Tereza Valentova : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Aug 27, 2025 - WTA US Open
Elena Rybakina - Tereza Valentova Key Points
- Tereza Valentova has converted 35 percent of breakpoint chances at the 2026 Australian Open.
- Tereza Valentova is 0-3 vs. top-10 players.
- Elena Rybakina is converting 62 percent of breakpoints in 2026.
- Elena Rybakina is winning almost 80 percent of her first serves at the 2026 Australian Open.
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Our Elena Rybakina vs Tereza Valentova Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Elena Rybakina punches through to the next round with a 6-3, 6-3 win
Reason: Valentova is still raw to beat a top-10, top-5 caliber player. So far, she’s 0-3 against a top-10 player and 0-1 against a top-5 player. Rybakina, who is winning almost 80 percent of her first balls and converting 66 percent of break-point chances in Melbourne, would overwhelm the 18-year-old kid who absolutely has the talent but still has a long way to go to become a force on the tour. Valentova is not Mirra Andreeva, who is a physical specimen and has matured faster than everybody else in her junior class. It will probably take a full year or two before we can see Valentova mixing it up with the elites. Right now, I just can’t see her touching an in-form Rybakina.
Our betting prediction for Tereza Valentova vs. Elena Rybakina: Elena Rybakina -5.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
