Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Picks - WTA Miami
WTA - WTA Miami
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Jessica Pegula will try to avert a fifth consecutive loss to Elena Rybakina in the quarterfinal of the 2026 Miami Open. Despite the fact that many tennis pundits are expecting a competitive match from start to finish, the Over 2.5 Sets still offers a solid value of +120 on DraftKings.
Current Form:
Elena Rybakina cruised to her third consecutive sweep after taming the giant-killing Talia Gibson in the round of 16, 6-2, 6-2. Rybakina improved her record this year to 20-4, solidifying her grip on the No.2 spot in the world rankings.
Jessica Pegula also barged the quarterfinals still unscathed following another masterful win over Jaqueline Cristian 6-4, 6-1. Pegula also owns an impressive 19-3 record, winning 69 percent of her first balls and converting 45 percent of breakpoint chances.
Rybakina and Pegula will be playing each other for the third time this year. Rybakina won the first two head-to-heads against Pegula in 2026, beating the American at the Australian Open 6-3, 7-6, and repeated at the Indian Wells Open 6-1, 7-6. Rybakina has now won the last three duels with Pegula to clinch a 5-3 record in their H2H series.
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Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Form
Elena Rybakina and Jessica Pegula Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 23, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 22, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 20, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 15, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 13, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 12, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Mar 23, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 22, 2026 - WTA Miami
Mar 12, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 11, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 9, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Elena Rybakina against Jessica Pegula : Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
Mar 12, 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
Jan 29, 2026 - WTA Australian Open
Nov 7, 2025 - WTA Doha
Sep 18, 2025 - Billie Jean King Cup
Oct 29, 2023 - WTA Doha
Mar 30, 2023 - WTA Miami
Elena Rybakina - Jessica Pegula Key Points
- Elena Rybakina is 3-0 vs. Jessica Pegula in the last three meetings.
- Elena Rybakina has only dropped one service game so far at the 2026 Miami Open.
- Jessica Pegula has yet to drop a service game at the 2026 Miami Open.
- Jessica Pegula is last year’s runner-up at the Miami Open.
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Our Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula Prediction
Elena Rybakina has established herself as a clear-cut favorite here at -216 moneyline after winning the last four meetings. However, Pegula isn’t going to let Rybakina walk away with a straight-set victory again. The American appears to have regained the potent service game that betrayed her in the past three matches with Rybakina, making her a lot deadlier in this upcoming tussle.
This is basically a flip coin match. And the best move to make here from a bettor's standpoint is to go with Over 2.5 sets in anticipation of a three-setter banger.
The last time these two elites played in a three-set match was in the semifinals of the 2025 WTA Finals, which saw Rybakina claw back from a set down to post a 4-6, 6-4, 6-3 win. Expect a similar scenario to happen with Pegula likely taking the first set, Rybakina securing the second, and all hell breaking loose in the third.
Our betting prediction for Jessica Pegula vs. Elena Rybakina: Over 2.5 Sets
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
