Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula Prediction & Picks - WTA Wuhan Open

WTA - WTA Wuhan Open

WTA 14
Ekaterina Alexandrova
10/8/25 23:00
WTA 5 USA
Jessica Pegula

Prediction:

 

Over 23.5 Games.

+100
$200 offered for betting!

New customers only | Commercial content | 21+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Jessica Pegula of the United States currently stands as a slight -115 favorite against Ekaterina Alexandrova of Russia in the round of 16 at the 2025 Wuhan Open on Thursday.

Is Pegula a strong bet on the moneyline market?

Current Form:

After reaching at least the quarterfinals in her last two tournaments, Pegula moved one win away from another final-eight appearance following her gritty victory over Hailey Baptiste 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 on Wednesday. Pegula was forced to play a three-setter for the fifth consecutive time after Baptiste launched a furious fight back in the second set. Pegula persevered once again, coming through with a handful of clutch shots to best Baptiste in the third-set tiebreaker. Pegula improved to 5-1 in her last six matches.

Meanwhile, Alexandrova cruised into the quarterfinal round after earning back-to-back straight-set victories over rising stars Victoria Mboko of Canada 6-3, 6-2 and Ann Li of the United States 7-6, 6-2. Alexandrova, who finished runner-up to Iga Swiatek at the Korea Open, can secure her third WTA 1000 quarterfinal appearance with a signature win over Pegula on Thursday.

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula Form

Ekaterina Alexandrova and Jessica Pegula Latest Matches

Ekaterina Alexandrova Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Oct 7, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Ann Li

Oct 6, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Victoria Mboko

Sep 26, 2025 - WTA China Open

Barbora Krejcikova
2 :  0
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Sep 21, 2025 - WTA Korea Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  1
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Sep 20, 2025 - WTA Korea Open

Katerina Siniakova
0 :  2
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Sep 20, 2025 - WTA Korea Open

Ella Seidel
0 :  2
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Jessica Pegula Latest matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Oct 7, 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open

Hailey Baptiste
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Oct 4, 2025 - WTA China Open

Jessica Pegula
1 :  2
Linda Noskova

Oct 3, 2025 - WTA China Open

Emma Navarro
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Oct 1, 2025 - WTA China Open

Marta Kostyuk
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Sep 29, 2025 - WTA China Open

Emma Raducanu
1 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Sep 27, 2025 - WTA China Open

Ajla Tomljanovic
0 :  2
Jessica Pegula

Ekaterina Alexandrova against Jessica Pegula : Head to Head (H2H)

Ekaterina Alexandrova

75 %

Jessica Pegula

25 %

Apr 19, 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  0
Jessica Pegula

Apr 5, 2025 - WTA Charleston Open

Jessica Pegula
2 :  1
Ekaterina Alexandrova

Feb 13, 2025 - WTA Doha

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  1
Jessica Pegula

Mar 27, 2024 - WTA Miami

Ekaterina Alexandrova
2 :  1
Jessica Pegula

Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jessica Pegula Key Points

  1. Jessica Pegula defeated Hailey Baptiste 6-4, 4-6, 7-6 in the second round of the 2025 Wuhan Open.
  2. Jessica Pegula is 5-1 in her last six matches.
  3. Ekaterina Alexandrova is 3-2 against Jessica Pegula in their head-to-head series.
  4. Ekaterina Alexandrova defeated Ann Li 7-6, 6-2 in the third round of the 2025 Wuhan Open.

Our Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula Prediction

Alexandrova is 3-2 head-to-head against Pegula. These two have already played each other thrice this year, with Alexandrova winning at the Doha Open 4-6, 6-1, 6-1 and the Stuttgart Open. Pegula earned her lone win of the year against the Russian in Charleston in the semifinal round, 6-2, 2-6, 7-5. Pegula is 4-6 against the WTA top-20 players this year, while Alexandrova is 9-6 against these players. However, Pegula carries a much better record on the hard court at 32-11, whereas Alexandrova has only compiled an 18-13 slate on the surface.

Fearless Forecast: Picking the winner is hard for this particular matchup because both players can play at a high level. Alexandrova has fresher legs after scoring two quick wins, but Pegula is armed with the experience and poise under pressure. This will be a brutal duel, and the outcome will probably be settled in three sets.

Our betting prediction for Jessica Pegula vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova: Over 23.5 Games.

Prediction:

 

Over 23.5 Games.

+100
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Jessica Pegula Picks