Deportivo Toluca FC vs Monterrey Prediction & Picks - Liga MX

Mexico - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
9/24/25 22:10
Monterrey

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-160
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 by Carlos Zabala in Liga MX Picks

Without a doubt, Toluca is the team to beat in this Liga MX season. The team coached by Antonio Mohamed snatched the spotlight from América in Mexican football. In the last Clausura tournament, they were crowned champions by beating América 2-0 at the Nemesio Díaz Stadium; months later, in Carson, they would reaffirm their victory by also winning the Campeón de Campeones trophy from América.

In Mohamed's own words, he says his team has the foundation to establish a dynasty in Mexican football; although it may sound like an exaggeration, it might not be. Toluca boasts two of the best Mexican players in midfield today, Vega and Angulo, and if that weren't enough, they have Paulinho, the team's leading striker, well known in the Mexican league for his consistent goal-scoring ability. These three, along with other talented players like Jeuss Gallardo, make Toluca a formidable team.

That's how the betting sites see it, as they've made Toluca a -105 favorite to win in 90 minutes against Monterrey, the Liga MX team with the most expensive roster in the country.

Monterrey is also on a strong run, unbeaten in its last six league matches, so Wednesday's match will surely be a clash of titans between the second- and third-place teams in Liga MX.

Up to $400+ to bet on Deportivo Toluca FC - Monterrey! 

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Deportivo Toluca FC vs Monterrey Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Monterrey
Monterrey
22 9 7 1 1 9
3
Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
19 9 6 1 2 11

Deportivo Toluca FC and Monterrey Latest Matches

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC Latest matches
D D L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
Orlando City SC

Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM
D W W D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 13, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 :  1
Puebla

Aug 20, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
0 :  0
Orlando City SC

Aug 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Pumas UNAM

Aug 5, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
New York City

Aug 1, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
CF Montreal

Jul 29, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  2
Columbus Crew
W W W L W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Chivas
0 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Cruz Azul
1 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX

FC Juarez
0 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 20, 2025 - Trofeo de Campeon de Campeones

CF America
1 :  3
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jul 16, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Santos Laguna
2 :  4
Deportivo Toluca FC
Monterrey
Monterrey Latest matches
W W W W W D
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  2
CF America

Sep 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  1
Monterrey

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  4
Monterrey

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  0
Club Necaxa

Aug 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  2
Mazatlan FC

Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  3
Monterrey
L D L W W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
2 :  2
CF America

Aug 23, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  0
Club Necaxa

Aug 17, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  2
Mazatlan FC

Aug 7, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Monterrey
0 :  2
Charlotte FC

Aug 3, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Monterrey
1 :  1
New York Red Bulls

Jul 31, 2025 - Leagues Cup

Monterrey
2 :  3
FC Cincinnati
L L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Sep 14, 2025 - Liga MX

Queretaro
0 :  1
Monterrey

Aug 29, 2025 - Liga MX

Puebla
2 :  4
Monterrey

Aug 11, 2025 - Liga MX

Club Leon
1 :  3
Monterrey

Jul 18, 2025 - Liga MX

Atletico San Luis
0 :  1
Monterrey

Jul 13, 2025 - Liga MX

CF Pachuca
3 :  0
Monterrey

Jul 1, 2025 - Club World Cup

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  1
Monterrey

Deportivo Toluca FC against Monterrey : Head to Head (H2H)

Deportivo Toluca FC

50 %

Draw

33 %

Monterrey

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

May 10, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
2 :  1
Monterrey

May 7, 2025 - Liga MX

Monterrey
3 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Jan 18, 2025 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  1
Monterrey

Aug 31, 2024 - Liga MX

Monterrey
1 :  2
Deportivo Toluca FC

Feb 18, 2024 - Liga MX

Monterrey
0 :  0
Deportivo Toluca FC

Aug 30, 2023 - Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 :  0
Monterrey

Monterrey v Deportivo Toluca FC last Lineups

Deportivo Toluca FC

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

22
L. Garcia
2
D. Barbosa
4
B. Mendez
6
F. Pereira
20
J. Gallardo
5
F. Romero
14
M. Ruiz
10
J. Angulo Uriarte
8
N. Castro
9
A. Vega
26
Paulinho
7
G. Berterame
10
S. Canales
30
J. Rodriguez
29
L. Ocampos
5
F. Ambriz
8
O. Torres
3
G. Arteaga
4
V. Guzman
93
S. Ramos
2
R. Chavez
25
S. Mele

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Monterrey

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Deportivo Toluca FC
CD Huachipato Monterrey
Top Goalscorer
Portugal Paulinho (18 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Mexico G. Berterame (19 Goals)
Best assists
Mexico A. Vega (14 Assists)
Best assists
Mexico J. Corona (9 Assists)

Deportivo Toluca FC and Monterrey Stats in Liga MX

Deportivo Toluca FC
Deportivo Toluca FC
Monterrey
Monterrey
67%
Victories
78%
11%
Draw
11%
22%
Defeats
11%
3.67
Total goals per match
3.44
2.44
Goals scored per match
2.22
1.22
Goals conceded per match
1.22
67%
Over 2.5
78%
33%
Under 2.5
22%
67%
BTTS
56%
22%
No goals conceded
33%

Deportivo Toluca FC - Monterrey Key Points

  1. Only Toluca and Monterrey have managed to score more than 20 goals in their last nine matches
  2. Monterrey's Sergio Canales is the second-leading scorer in Liga MX with six goals
  3. Toluca had 11 shots on goal in the win against Chivas
  4. Monterrey is coming off a 2-2 draw against Club América in its previous match
Up to $400+ to bet on Deportivo Toluca FC - Monterrey! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Deportivo Toluca FC vs Monterrey Prediction

These are two teams in excellent form, although Monterrey, coached by Torrent, is coming off a tie against América that felt like a loss. Ambriz's goal and Canales's goal in the 44th minute gave them a 2-0 lead. They had to settle for a draw when América came back after the 82nd minute and tied the score with goals from Aguirre and Juárez.

Meanwhile, Toluca demonstrated a masterclass in counterattacking against Chivas, scoring goals in this way, the first of the match through Paulinho and the last through Vega to seal the 3-0 lead. Bruno Méndez will miss the match against Monterrey for the Diablos Rojos, as he will have to serve a suspension after receiving a red card against Chivas.

Our prediction for Toluca vs Monterrey is: Over 2.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 2.5

-160
$400+ offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Deportivo Toluca FC vs Monterrey Picks
Up to $400+ to bet on Deportivo Toluca FC - Monterrey! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings