Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks - NBA

USA - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
2/27/26 21:30
Denver Nuggets

Prediction:

 

Nuggets (+9.5) cover the spread

-133
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 by Paul Tamayo | in NBA Picks

The Denver Nuggets (37-22) visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (45-15) in an NBA 2025-26 game on Friday, February 27, at Paycom Center.

Oklahoma City has claimed victory in the sole head-to-head encounter against Denver this season, earning a 121-111 win earlier in early February. Reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander put up a massive double-double of 34 points and 13 assists, while Cason Wallace chipped in 27.

However, the Thunder have recently ended a three-game winning streak with a 124-116 loss to the Detroit Pistons. OKC raced to a 12-point lead after the opening period, but their offense sputtered in the following quarter. Jaylin Williams led the charge for the team, amassing a 30-point, 11-rebound night.

The Thunder was severely short-handed in that loss, as they were without Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell, and Alex Caruso. SGA, Holmgren, and Caruso are not present in the team's injury report for Friday.

Turning to the Nuggets, they're hoping to build momentum after a convincing 118-102 home win against the Boston Celtics. In that matchup, Nikola Jokic produced 30 points, 12 rebounds, and 6 assists. 

The Nuggets' injury report lists Aaron Gordon and Peyton Watson as out, with Jamal Murray questionable on Friday due to an illness.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Form

Table

Teams % P W L Series
1 Oklahoma City Thunder
0.78 82 64 18
5 Denver Nuggets
0.659 82 54 28 12

Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets Latest Matches

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Feb 25, 2026 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
124 :  116
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 24, 2026 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
107 :  116
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 22, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
121 :  113
Cleveland Cavaliers

Feb 20, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
105 :  86
Brooklyn Nets

Feb 12, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
93 :  110
Milwaukee Bucks

Feb 11, 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
109 :  136
Oklahoma City Thunder
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Feb 22, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
121 :  113
Cleveland Cavaliers

Feb 20, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
105 :  86
Brooklyn Nets

Feb 12, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
93 :  110
Milwaukee Bucks

Feb 7, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
106 :  112
Houston Rockets

Feb 3, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
128 :  92
Orlando Magic

Jan 27, 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
104 :  95
New Orleans Pelicans
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Feb 25, 2026 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
124 :  116
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 24, 2026 - NBA

Toronto Raptors
107 :  116
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 11, 2026 - NBA

Phoenix Suns
109 :  136
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 9, 2026 - NBA

Los Angeles Lakers
110 :  119
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 4, 2026 - NBA

San Antonio Spurs
116 :  106
Oklahoma City Thunder

Feb 1, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
111 :  121
Oklahoma City Thunder
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets Latest matches
L W L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Feb 25, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
103 :  84
Boston Celtics

Feb 22, 2026 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
128 :  117
Denver Nuggets

Feb 20, 2026 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
103 :  157
Denver Nuggets

Feb 19, 2026 - NBA

LA Clippers
115 :  114
Denver Nuggets

Feb 11, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
122 :  116
Memphis Grizzlies

Feb 9, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
117 :  119
Cleveland Cavaliers
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Feb 25, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
103 :  84
Boston Celtics

Feb 11, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
122 :  116
Memphis Grizzlies

Feb 9, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
117 :  119
Cleveland Cavaliers

Feb 1, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
111 :  121
Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 30, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
122 :  109
LA Clippers

Jan 29, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
107 :  103
Brooklyn Nets
L L W L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Feb 22, 2026 - NBA

Golden State Warriors
128 :  117
Denver Nuggets

Feb 20, 2026 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
103 :  157
Denver Nuggets

Feb 19, 2026 - NBA

LA Clippers
115 :  114
Denver Nuggets

Feb 7, 2026 - NBA

Chicago Bulls
120 :  136
Denver Nuggets

Feb 4, 2026 - NBA

New York Knicks
134 :  127
Denver Nuggets

Feb 3, 2026 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
124 :  121
Denver Nuggets

Oklahoma City Thunder against Denver Nuggets : Head to Head (H2H)

Oklahoma City Thunder

67 %

Denver Nuggets

33 %

Feb 1, 2026 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
111 :  121
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 18, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
125 :  93
Denver Nuggets

May 15, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
119 :  107
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 13, 2025 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
112 :  105
Denver Nuggets

May 11, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
87 :  92
Oklahoma City Thunder

May 9, 2025 - NBA

Denver Nuggets
113 :  104
Oklahoma City Thunder

Players list

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
C. Holmgren I. Hartenstein S. Gilgeous-Alexander

C. Wallace

L. Dort

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
N. Jokic

C. Braun

J. Strawther

J. Murray

C. Johnson

Substitutes

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
K. Williams

B. Boeheim

N. Topic

I. Joe

A. Caruso

A. Wiggins

J. McCain

J. Williams

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Z. Nnaji D. Holmes II J. Valanciunas T. Hardaway Jr. B. Brown

J. Pickett

S. Jones

K. Simpson

Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets Key Points

  1. The Thunder are coming off a 112-105 loss against the Detroit Pistons.
  2. The Nuggets are coming off a 118-102 win over the Boston Celtics.
  3. Nuggets star Nikola Jokic averaged 29.0 points, 14.6 rebounds, and 8.4 assists in the last five games.
  4. The Thunder will miss Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell.

Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction

The Thunder took the only game against the Nuggets this season, and they've been formidable at home lately with a 24-7 record there. But they'll be missing last year's All-Star forward Jalen Williams on Friday.

OKC will be the favorites heading into this rematch, but don't count out Nikola Jokic and Denver. We might be in for a classic tightly contested game between these two Western Conference contenders. Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets match is: Nuggets (+9.5) cover the spread.

Prediction:

 

Nuggets (+9.5) cover the spread

-133
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Picks