Darja Semenistaja vs Paula Badosa Prediction & Picks - WTA Sao Paulo

WTA - WTA Sao Paulo

WTA 120 Latvia
Darja Semenistaja
9/14/26 16:30
WTA 70 Spain
Paula Badosa

Prediction:

 

Paula Badosa -6.5 games

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 by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks

Paula Badosa takes on Darja Semenistaja in the first round of the 2026 Sao Paulo Open.

Fresh off a solid showing at the US Open, the former world No.2 Badosa is primed to cover -6.5 games in this match.

Current Form:

Paula Badosa delivered an encouraging result at the 2026 US Open. Badosa fell in the second round of the final Grand Slam of the year, but the Spaniard earned a clinical win over former top-10 Daria Kasatkina 6-1, 6-4 and gave Coco Gauff a run for her money in a 4-6, 6-7 loss.

Darja Semenistaja has dropped her last three matches, including the loss to Anastasia Tikhonova 4-6, 6-4, 5-7 in the first of the 2026 KIA Open in Barranquilla. Semenistaja is 8-11 on hard courts and 23-28 overall in 2026.

The Matchup: Badosa and Semenistaja will play against each other for the first time on the WTA Tour.

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Darja Semenistaja vs Paula Badosa Form

Darja Semenistaja and Paula Badosa Latest Matches

Darja Semenistaja Latest matches
L L W W L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Sep 1, 2026 - WTA US Open

Anastasia Potapova
2 :  0
Darja Semenistaja

Aug 28, 2026 - WTA US Open

Darja Semenistaja
0 :  2
Storm Sanders

Aug 26, 2026 - WTA US Open

Darja Semenistaja
2 :  0
Alexandra Shubladze

Aug 25, 2026 - WTA US Open

Darja Semenistaja
2 :  0
Hayu Kinoshita

Jul 21, 2026 - WTA Hamburg Open

Darja Semenistaja
1 :  2
Sinja Kraus

Jun 29, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Antonia Ruzic
2 :  1
Darja Semenistaja
Paula Badosa Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 3, 2026 - WTA US Open

Paula Badosa
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

Sep 1, 2026 - WTA US Open

Daria Kasatkina
0 :  2
Paula Badosa

Jul 24, 2026 - WTA Hamburg Open

Mayar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz
2 :  1
Paula Badosa

Jul 23, 2026 - WTA Hamburg Open

Paula Badosa
2 :  0
Panna Udvardy

Jul 22, 2026 - WTA Hamburg Open

Katarzyna Kawa
0 :  2
Paula Badosa

Jul 18, 2026 - WTA Iasi Open

Paula Badosa
2 :  1
Tamara Zidansek
Darja Semenistaja vs Paula Badosa Picks

Darja Semenistaja - Paula Badosa Key Points

  1. Darja Semenistaja is 8-11 on hard courts in 2026.
  2. Darja Semenistaja is 23-28 overall in 2026.
  3. Paula Badosa is 8-9 on hard courts in 2026.
  4. Paula Badosa is 15-5 vs. top-100 players in 2026.
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Our Darja Semenistaja vs Paula Badosa Prediction

The Difference Maker: Paula Badosa showed flashes of her old self in her run at the US Open. After her surgical win over Kasatkina, Badosa tested Coco Gauff from start to finish in their action-packed match, showcasing her ability to raise her level when facing elite-level competition.

What to Expect: Badosa puts away Semenistaja in straight sets. Badosa proved in the previous tournament she still has the tools to play at the highest level. Semenistaja is a decent WTA campaigner with few marquee wins, but she’s not beating a much healthier Badosa.

Fearless Forecast: Paula Badosa wins 6-3, 6-1

Our betting prediction for Paula Badosa vs. Darja Semenistaja: Paula Badosa -6.5 games

Prediction:

 

Paula Badosa -6.5 games

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$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.