Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka Prediction & Picks - WTA Wimbledon Championships
WTA - WTA Wimbledon Championships
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Naomi Osaka eyes another clinical win against Daria Kasatkina in the third round of the 2026 Wimbledon Open.
Osaka, who has saved 9 of 10 breakpoints in two matches at Wimbledon, finds herself in a strong position to cover -5.5 games in the alternative game spread.
Naomi Osaka moved on to the third round after coming through with masterclass wins over Elsa Jacquemot 6-1, 7-5 and Anastasia Gasanova 6-3, 6-2. A finalist at Bad Homburg, Osaka improved to 6-1 on grass and will face a former Wimbledon Open quarterfinalist Daria Kasatkina, against whom she boasts a 3-0 head-to-head record.
Kasatkina will need to produce a crisper performance to overcome the former world’s No.1 after surviving back-to-back three-setters in the early stage of the tournament. Kasatkina overcame Mingge Xu 6-2, 3-6. 6-2 and Janice Tjen 6-7, 6-1, 6-4 to reach the round of 32.
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Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka Form
Daria Kasatkina and Naomi Osaka Latest Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Jul 1, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 22, 2026 - WTA Eastbourne International
Jun 13, 2026 - WTA Nottingham Open
Jun 8, 2026 - WTA Libema Open
May 30, 2026 - WTA French Open
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Jul 1, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 29, 2026 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Jun 26, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Jun 25, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Jun 23, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Jun 21, 2026 - WTA Bad Homburg Open
Daria Kasatkina against Naomi Osaka : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
Aug 30, 2025 - WTA US Open
May 11, 2024 - WTA Rome
Mar 18, 2018 - WTA Indian Wells
Daria Kasatkina - Naomi Osaka Key Points
- Daria Kasatkina is 1-2 vs. top-20 players in 2026.
- Daria Kasatkina is 2-3 on grass in 2026.
- Naomi Osaka is 6-1 on grass in 2026.
- Naomi Osaka is saving 90 percent of breakpoints in 2026.
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Our Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Naomi Osaka dismantles Daria Kasatkina 6-3, 6-3
Difference Maker: Osaka is 3-0 vs. Kasatkina. The last time she faced the Russian-born Aussie, Osaka posted a 6-0, 4-6, 6-3 win in the third round of the 2025 US Open.
With Osaka serving exceptionally well on grass (75.7% first serve win percentage), Kasatkina will not have many opportunities to secure breakpoints. Furthermore, Osaka’s return game has also made wonders for her on grass. She has already created 15 breakpoints in this tourney, converting 7.
What to expect: Osaka will cruise through to a clinical win over Kasatkina. The Japanese will continue serving at an elite level while coming through with timely breakpoint conversions in both sets.
Our betting prediction for Naomi Osaka vs. Daria Kasatkina: Naomi Osaka -5.5 Games (ALT Game Spread)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
