Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
One of the ATP's big dogs will be back in action in the Spanish capital of Madrid on Monday. Daniil Medvedev, who reached this stage of the tournament courtesy of a three-set win against fabian Marozsan, will take on youngster Nicolai Budkov Kjaer, who has been in good form in recent weeks.
Can the 19-year-old cause an upset? Well, Medvedev is the sort of player who can falter when expected to win, but his clay-court record in matches of this nature speaks for itself, so don't be surprised if the Russian shoulders the burden of favoritism with aplomb. Looking at the early lines, Medvedev doesn't seem to be getting the respect that he deserves, so much so that he's absolutely worth betting on to emerge victorious by a four-game margin at least.
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Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Form
Daniil Medvedev and Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 23, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 15, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 14, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 21, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 20, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 11, 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Apr 4, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 30, 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Daniil Medvedev - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Key Points
- During the previous round, Daniil Medvedev won by more than a four-game margin.
- Nicolai Budkov Kjaer lacks experience against the top players.
- Daniil Medvedev has a devastating clay-court record against much lower-ranked players.
- Daniil Medvedev has made the quarter-finals of this tournament in each of the last two seasons.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Prediction
Daniil Medvedev did drop a set during the previous round, but he still won by more than a four-game margin, which bodes well given that he was facing a better player than his next opponent. Sure, Nicolai Budkov Kjaer has been playing well in Madrid so far, but this is a step up, and it doesn't look like the early betting market is considering this fact strongly enough.
Medvedev has a fabulous clay-court record against players of this nature, and with that success against Marozsan under his belt, the Russian can easily see off his lower-ranked opponent.
Our Daniil Medvedev vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Pick: Daniil Medvedev -3.5 Game Handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
