27 April 2024 - 10:00

- 1/32

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 4

Daniil Medvedev

ATP 37

Matteo Arnaldi

Prediction:

Matteo Arnaldi +1.5 Set Handicap

Odds : -139

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Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Prediction published on 4/26/24, 6:22 AM by Bradley Gibbs | Modified on 4/26/24 at 7:22 AM in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

In Madrid on Saturday, world number four Daniil Medvedev will be in action. The Russian Grand Slam champion will take on a player who has been something of a rapid improver in recent months. Italian Matteo Arnaldi is now up to 36th in the ATP rankings and has shown on several occasions that he's a very good clay-court player. Despite being one of the best in the business and being heavily favoured in the early betting, Medvedev may not have this all his own way.

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Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi Form

Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi Latest Matches

Daniil Medvedev Latest matches

W W W L W L

Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 11, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Karen Khachanov

2 : 0

Daniil Medvedev

Apr 10, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Gael Monfils

0 : 2

Daniil Medvedev

Mar 29, 2024 - ATP Miami

Daniil Medvedev

0 : 2

Jannik Sinner

Mar 27, 2024 - ATP Miami

Nicolás Jarry

0 : 2

Daniil Medvedev

Mar 26, 2024 - ATP Miami

Dominik Koepfer

0 : 2

Daniil Medvedev

Mar 24, 2024 - ATP Miami

Cameron Norrie

0 : 2

Daniil Medvedev

Matteo Arnaldi Latest matches

L W W W L W

Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Apr 25, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Christopher O'Connell

0 : 2

Matteo Arnaldi

Apr 19, 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Matteo Arnaldi

0 : 2

Casper Ruud

Apr 18, 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Matteo Arnaldi

2 : 0

Marco Trungelliti

Apr 16, 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Sebastian Baez

1 : 2

Matteo Arnaldi

Apr 15, 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Matteo Arnaldi

abort

Arthur Cazaux

Apr 8, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Matteo Arnaldi

1 : 2

Sumit Nagal

Daniil Medvedev against Matteo Arnaldi : Head to Head (H2H)

Daniil Medvedev

100 %

Matteo Arnaldi

0 %

Aug 9, 2023 - Toronto, Canada

Matteo Arnaldi

0 : 2

Daniil Medvedev

Feb 28, 2023 - ATP Dubai Open

Daniil Medvedev

2 : 0

Matteo Arnaldi

Daniil Medvedev - Matteo Arnaldi Key Points

Daniil Medvedev has lost two of his last three matches.
Matteo Arnaldi has only failed to win a set in one of his five clay-court matches this season.
At the very least, Arnaldi has avoided a straight-set defeat in all but one of his last 26 clay-court matches.
Daniil Medvedev has lost two of his last three clay-court matches.

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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Matteo Arnaldi Prediction

Sure, Daniil Medvedev is one of the world's best, there's no doubting that, but he's no stranger to slip-ups, let's face it. What's more, he comes into this game having looked a little out of sorts back on clay when losing to fellow Russian Khachanov in Monte Carlo recently. In contrast, Arnaldi has looked strong on the clay of late, while as touched on above, he has a fantastic record of winning at least one set on this type of court. Moreover, Medvedev hasn't played (competitively) in two weeks, while Arnaldi built momentum with a solid win yesterday, so he may just have the edge in terms of match readiness. All in all, the Italian looks a good bet to push the world number four by winning at least avoiding a straight-set defeat. Our Prediction: Matteo Arnaldi +1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

Matteo Arnaldi +1.5 Set Handicap

Odds : -139

$1500 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.