Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
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by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks
In Madrid on Saturday, Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan will clash. The Russian will be playing at this tournament for the first time in 2026, while his Hungarian opponent has already played a match in Madrid. Since he's already had a chance to get used to the conditions in the Spanish capital, Marozsan could have a slight preparation edge, but is that preparation edge enough to bridge the gap in quality? Probably not.
Medvedev has a fantastic record on clay courts against players of Marozsan's record in recent seasons, while Marozsan is far from consistent, so we shouldn't be surprised if he flounders here, despite winning last time out. More often than not, Daniil Medvedev would be something like -303 to win this match. The early market seems to be understimating the chances of the world number ten, who is well worth betting on to get the job done at inflated early odds of -189.
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Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan Form
Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 23, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 15, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 14, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 12, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Apr 23, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Apr 16, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 14, 2026 - ATP Munich Open
Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 7, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Apr 4, 2026 - ATP BCR Open Romania
Daniil Medvedev against Fabian Marozsan : Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
Jan 22, 2026 - ATP Australian Open
Oct 17, 2025 - Almaty Open
Aug 29, 2024 - ATP US Open
Daniil Medvedev - Fabian Marozsan Key Points
- Fabian Marozsan has not won back-to-back during his last six-match stint.
- Since 2023, Daniil Medvedev has only lost to one non-top-50 player on clay.
- Fabian Marozsan lost his most recent clay-court match against a top-40 player in straight sets.
- Daniil Medvedev has won each of his previous three matches against Fabian Marozsan.
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Our Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan Prediction
This will be the first time that the pair have duelled on clay, but they've met three times before on other surfaces. Daniil Medvedev has won each of those three matches, and that's not easy to ignore. If we factor in that the Russian has very rarely lost on clay courts against players of Fabian Marozsan's level and it's difficult to conclude that the world number ten is anything but generously priced at odds of -189.
Our Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsan Pick: Daniil Medvedev to Win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
