Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Prediction & Picks - ATP US Open

ATP - ATP US Open

ATP 8
Daniil Medvedev
9/4/26 11:00
ATP 29 France
Arthur Rinderknech

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev -1.5 Set Handicap

-145
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP US Open Picks

A former US Open winner will be in action on Friday. Daniil Medvedev has made a very positive start to the tournament and will now take on Arthur Rinderknech. The pair will battle it out for a place in the fourth round, which is a stage that Rinderknech has reached just once before. In contrast, Medvedev has been beyond the fourth round on five previous occasions. 

Looking at the early lines ahead of this match, Daniil Medvedev looks a little too leniently priced to win by a two-set margin or greater. The Russian looks in hot form, let's be honest. He's already brushed aside two lower-ranked opponents without dropping a set, and we know how hard he can be to stop once he gets going at Flushing Meadows, where he has reached the final on three occasions. 

Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Form

Daniil Medvedev and Arthur Rinderknech Latest Matches

Daniil Medvedev Latest matches
L W L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Daniil Medvedev
3 :  0
Sebastian Gorzny

Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open

Daniil Medvedev
3 :  0
Hugo Gaston

Aug 25, 2026 - ATP Winston-Salem Open

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Martin Damm Jr

Aug 18, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  1
Daniil Medvedev

Aug 16, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Marco Trungelliti
0 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Botic Van De Zandschulp
Arthur Rinderknech Latest matches
W W L L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Sep 2, 2026 - ATP US Open

Jaume Munar
0 :  3
Arthur Rinderknech

Aug 30, 2026 - ATP US Open

Sho Shimabukuro
1 :  3
Arthur Rinderknech

Aug 16, 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Arthur Rinderknech
1 :  2
Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Aug 8, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Arthur Rinderknech
1 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

Aug 6, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Frances Tiafoe
0 :  1
Arthur Rinderknech

Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
1 :  2
Arthur Rinderknech

Daniil Medvedev against Arthur Rinderknech : Head to Head (H2H)

Daniil Medvedev

0 %

Arthur Rinderknech

100 %

Oct 11, 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Daniil Medvedev
1 :  2
Arthur Rinderknech
Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Picks

Daniil Medvedev - Arthur Rinderknech Key Points

  1. Daniil Medvedev is yet to drop a set at the 2026 US Open.
  2. Daniil Medvedev won the US Open back in 2020.
  3. Daniil Medvedev has reached the the quarter-finals of the US Open or better in five of the last seven years.
  4. Daniil Medvedev won his last fully completed match against Arthur Rinderknech in straight sets.
  5. Daniil Medvedev has won six of his last seven US Open matches against lower-ranked players by at least two sets.

Our Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Prediction

Daniil Medvedev loves the US Open, where he has three times reached the final. At Flushing Meadows, he rarely fails against lower-ranked players, winning six of his last seven such matches by a two-set margin or better. That record is hard to ignore, especially as he's arrived in great shape this time around, winning each of his first two matches in straight sets. Such form does not bode well for Arthur Rinderknech, who has a greater chance of losing this 3-1 or 3-0 than the early odds suggest. 

Our Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Rinderknech Pick: Daniil Medvedev -1.5 Set Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Daniil Medvedev -1.5 Set Handicap

-145
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.