Daniel Merida vs Marin Cilic Prediction & Picks - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP 63 Spain
Daniel Merida
8/13/26 10:00
ATP 85 Croatia
Marin Cilic

Prediction:

 

Daniel Merida Aguilar to Win

+100
$150 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs in ATP Cincinnati Open Picks

On Thursday, the player who won this rather prestigious ATP event back in 2016 will be in action. It's ten years since Marin Cilic got his hands on the Cincinnati Open trophy, and the veteran would surely love to follow up this year. Realistically, that seems unlikely. The 37-year-old has enough on his plater in the first round, where he'll take on Daniel Merida Aguilar. 

Given where these two players are right now, it's probably fair to say that Daniel Merida Aguilar, who is in decent form on this surface, should be the favorite. While he's not quite favored by the early market, he's worth betting on to put the exuberance of youth to good effect and get over the line against a player who is now very much deep into the twilight of his top-level career. 

Up to $150 to bet on Daniel Merida - Marin Cilic! 

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Daniel Merida vs Marin Cilic Form

Daniel Merida and Marin Cilic Latest Matches

Daniel Merida Latest matches
L W W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Aug 11, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Daniel Merida
0 :  2
Learner Tien

Aug 9, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Tallon Griekspoor
0 :  2
Daniel Merida

Aug 7, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Daniel Merida
2 :  1
Alex Michelsen

Aug 5, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Ugo Humbert
0 :  2
Daniel Merida

Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Daniel Merida
2 :  1
Liam Draxl

Jul 21, 2026 - ATP Estoril Open

Daniel Merida
1 :  2
Kyrian Jacquet
Marin Cilic Latest matches
W L L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Aug 4, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Frances Tiafoe
2 :  1
Marin Cilic

Aug 3, 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Sho Shimabukuro
0 :  2
Marin Cilic

Jun 29, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Marin Cilic
0 :  3
Daniil Medvedev

Jun 16, 2026 - ATP London - Queen's

Ugo Humbert
2 :  0
Marin Cilic

Jun 12, 2026 - ATP Libema Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Marin Cilic

Jun 11, 2026 - ATP Libema Open

Nuno Borges
1 :  2
Marin Cilic
Daniel Merida vs Marin Cilic Picks

Daniel Merida - Marin Cilic Key Points

  1. Daniel Mérida Aguilar has won four out of five hard-court matches since the end of the grass-court season.
  2. Daniel Mérida Aguilar has won each of his two recent hard-court matches against lower-ranked players.
  3. When the pair met back in 2025, Daniel Merida Aguilar came out on top.
  4. Daniel Mérida Aguilar arrives in decent form having reached the quarter-finals in Montreal last time out.
Up to $150 to bet on Daniel Merida - Marin Cilic! 

Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings

Our Daniel Merida vs Marin Cilic Prediction

If this was a few years ago, you wouldn't find it hard to fancy Marin Cilic, but time may have finally caught up with the Croatian, who is no longer as strong as he was when he won this title. In his last four visits to Cincinnati, he's exited in both the first and second rounds, while his recent hard-court efforts do not point towards him beating a very promising up-and-comer like Daniel Merida Aguilar. At the very least, the younger player should be more fancied in the betting, and at odds of +100, he goes down as a value bet to come out on top. 

Our Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic Pick: Daniel Merida Aguilar to Win.

Prediction:

 

Daniel Merida Aguilar to Win

+100
$150 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.