Daniel Altmaier vs Hugo Gaston Prediction & Picks - ATP Bastad Open

ATP - ATP Bastad Open

ATP 61 Germany
Daniel Altmaier
7/14/26 07:20
ATP 118 France
Hugo Gaston

Prediction:

 

Hugo Gaston to Win

+125
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Tennis Picks

On Tuesday, in Bastaad, Sweden, Daniel Altmaier and Hugo Gaston will clash. The German returns to the clay after some low-key grass-court efforts, which involved him exiting Wimbledon at the first hurdle. Gaston came through the qualifying round at Wimbledon, before losing in the first proper round. He's since played five clay-court matches, which means he could be better prepared for this test than his opponent. 

As the higher-ranked player, Daniel Altmaier is expected to come through this first-round test unscathed, but it's not overly easy to agree with him being priced at -161 to do that. After all, the German hasn't played on clay for a while, and he's up against someone with much more recent clay-court experience. Hugo Gaston heads to Bastaad off the back of reaching a clay-court final at Challenger level in Germany last week, and that experience should hold him in good stead here. Factor in his promising clay-court record against Altmaier and we can conclude that the French player deserves more respect that he's getting from the early market. 

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Daniel Altmaier vs Hugo Gaston Form

Daniel Altmaier and Hugo Gaston Latest Matches

Daniel Altmaier Latest matches
W W W L W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 30, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alex Molcan
3 :  1
Daniel Altmaier

Jun 23, 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International

Daniel Altmaier
2 :  0
Aleksandar Kovacevic

Jun 20, 2026 - ATP Halle Open

Daniel Altmaier
0 :  2
Frances Tiafoe

Jun 19, 2026 - ATP Halle Open

Daniel Altmaier
2 :  1
Daniil Medvedev

Jun 17, 2026 - ATP Halle Open

Hubert Hurkacz
1 :  2
Daniel Altmaier

Jun 15, 2026 - ATP Halle Open

Nikoloz Basilashvili
0 :  2
Daniel Altmaier
Hugo Gaston Latest matches
W L W W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Jun 29, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Hugo Gaston
0 :  3
Stefanos Tsitsipas

Jun 25, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Hugo Gaston
3 :  1
Moez Echargui

Jun 24, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Hugo Gaston
2 :  0
Federico Cina

Jun 22, 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Hugo Gaston
2 :  1
Lautaro Midon

May 28, 2026 - ATP French Open

Francisco Cerundolo
3 :  1
Hugo Gaston

May 25, 2026 - ATP French Open

Hugo Gaston
3 :  2
Gael Monfils

Daniel Altmaier against Hugo Gaston : Head to Head (H2H)

Daniel Altmaier

0 %

Hugo Gaston

100 %

Jul 23, 2024 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open

Hugo Gaston
2 :  1
Daniel Altmaier
Daniel Altmaier vs Hugo Gaston Picks

Daniel Altmaier - Hugo Gaston Key Points

  1. Hugo Gaston has played five clay-court matches in the last week, winning four of those.
  2. Daniel Altmaier has not played on clay since his exit at Wimbledon and may not be as well prepared as his opponent.
  3. When the pair previously met on a clay court, Hugo Gaston came out on top.
  4. Hugo Gaston has won six of his last seven clay-court matches against players outside of the top 50.
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Our Daniel Altmaier vs Hugo Gaston Prediction

Daniel Altmaier is clearly the preference of the early betting market, but don't be too surprised if that changes a little as this match gets closer to getting underway. The French player has that all-important recent clay-court experience, while his overall clay-court form in matches of this nature has been pleasing. When we also consider that he won the only previous clay-court battle between the pair, it's easy to conclude that he's too generously priced. Value bettors should take Gaston to emerge victorious at anything bigger than +100. 

Our Daniel Altmaier vs Hugo Gaston Pick: Hugo Gaston to Win.

Prediction:

 

Hugo Gaston to Win

+125
$200 offered for betting!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.