10 May 2024 - 08:35 

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ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 56 Italy
Flavio Cobolli
VS
ATP 28 USA
Sebastian Korda

Prediction:

Flavio Cobolli to Win

Odds : +155

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Flavio Cobolli vs Sebastian Korda Prediction & Picks - ATP Italian Open

 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Italian Open Picks

An interesting match taking place in Rome on the ATP side of things Flavio Cobolli take on the higher-ranked Sebastian Korda. The US player is ranked above the Italian, but Cobolli is on home soil here, plus he's in decent clay-court form. Can the same be said for Sebastian Korda? Right now, definitely not. Looking at the early lines, there's reason to feel that Cobolli is available at slightly generous odds.

Flavio Cobolli vs Sebastian Korda Form

Flavio Cobolli and Sebastian Korda Latest Matches

Flavio Cobolli Latest matches
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

May 8, 2024 - ATP Italian Open

Maximilian Marterer
0 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

Apr 29, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  2
Karen Khachanov

Apr 27, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Nicolás Jarry
1 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

Apr 25, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alejandro Tabilo
1 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

Apr 16, 2024 - ATP Barcelona

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  2
Rafael Nadal

Apr 6, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Sumit Nagal
2 :  0
Flavio Cobolli
Sebastian Korda Latest matches
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Apr 29, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Sebastian Korda

Apr 27, 2024 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Max Purcell
0 :  2
Sebastian Korda

Apr 19, 2024 - ATP BCR Open Romania

Sebastian Korda
0 :  2
Gregoire Barrere

Apr 10, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Sebastian Korda
0 :  2
Jannik Sinner

Apr 9, 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Sebastian Korda
2 :  0
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Mar 25, 2024 - ATP Miami

Sebastian Korda
1 :  2
Hubert Hurkacz

Flavio Cobolli - Sebastian Korda Key Points

  1. Sebastian Korda has lost three of his five clay-court matches this season.
  2. Sebastian Korda has lost five of his last six clay-court matches against players ranked inside the top 60.
  3. Flavio Cobolli has won two of his last three matches against higher-ranked players.
  4. Sebastian Korda has won just three of his last ten clay-court matches.
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Our Flavio Cobolli vs Sebastian Korda Prediction

As the higher-ranked player, Korda is the favourite here, but I really don't think he should be as strong in the early market as he is. Currently, the US player is being priced as if he's in much better form than he's shown on European hard courts over the last month. His recent defeats to both Ofner and Barrere tell me that an in-form Cobolli, who is playing in his native Italy, could easily get the job done here. Following pleasing recent wins against higher-ranked players such as Tabilo and Jarry, both of whom are strong on clay, the Italian is worth siding with to cause a minor upset here. Our Prediction: Flavio Cobolli to Win. 

Prediction:

Flavio Cobolli to Win

Odds : +155

$1500 offered for betting!
Flavio Cobolli vs Sebastian Korda Picks

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.