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by Lou Aguila in NFL Picks
The Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1) will go for their third straight win against the hapless Cleveland Browns (1-4) on Sunday at Acrisure Stadium.
The Steelers are the clear-cut favorites for this game (-275), but they carry more value on the spread line where they are listed at -120 to cover -5.5 points.
Current Form:
The Steelers are the top dogs in the AFC North after five weeks of football. Aaron Rodgers continues to produce stellar numbers as a 41-year-old quarterback, covering 786 passing yards with 8 touchdowns and 3 interceptions across three games. In the Steelers’ recent win over the Minnesota Vikings 24-21, Rodgers threw for 200 yards with one TD. Pittsburgh ranks 27th in the NFL in average passing yards per game (183.5 yards) and second to the last in average rushing yards per game (80.0 yards). They are averaging 24 points per game (17th in the NFL) and 24.5 points allowed per game (20th).
The Browns are dreadful, which is not a surprise. Cleveland has gone 1-4 after their first five games, ranking 23rd in passing yards (192.6) and 26th in passing yards (95.8). They are averaging 14.6 points per game (31st) while giving up 24.6 points per game (21st) this year. Cleveland has already traded their opening week quarterback, Joe Flacco, to the Cincinnati Bengals in exchange for a fifth-round pick, opening the door for rookie quarterback Dillon Gabriel to assume his role.
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Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Form
Table
| Teams | % | P | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
0.75 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
|
26
|
0.2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers Latest Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Oct 5, 2025 - NFL
Sep 28, 2025 - NFL
Sep 21, 2025 - NFL
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
Sep 7, 2025 - NFL
Jan 4, 2025 - NFL
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Oct 5, 2025 - NFL
Sep 21, 2025 - NFL
Sep 7, 2025 - NFL
Dec 29, 2024 - NFL
Dec 15, 2024 - NFL
Nov 21, 2024 - NFL
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Sep 28, 2025 - NFL
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
Jan 4, 2025 - NFL
Dec 22, 2024 - NFL
Dec 8, 2024 - NFL
Dec 2, 2024 - NFL
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 28, 2025 - NFL
Sep 21, 2025 - NFL
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
Sep 7, 2025 - NFL
Jan 11, 2025 - NFL
Jan 4, 2025 - NFL
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 28, 2025 - NFL
Sep 14, 2025 - NFL
Jan 4, 2025 - NFL
Dec 25, 2024 - NFL
Dec 8, 2024 - NFL
Nov 17, 2024 - NFL
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Sep 21, 2025 - NFL
Sep 7, 2025 - NFL
Jan 11, 2025 - NFL
Dec 21, 2024 - NFL
Dec 15, 2024 - NFL
Dec 1, 2024 - NFL
Cleveland Browns against Pittsburgh Steelers : Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Dec 8, 2024 - NFL
Nov 21, 2024 - NFL
Nov 19, 2023 - NFL
Sep 18, 2023 - NFL
Jan 10, 2021 - NFL
Oct 18, 2020 - NFL
Cleveland Browns - Pittsburgh Steelers Key Points
- Cleveland is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games.
- Cleveland is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games.
- Pittsburgh is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home.
- Pittsburgh is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Cleveland.
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Our Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction
The Steelers’ numbers through the first four games might not be eye-popping, but the important thing is they get the job done. The Steelers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games at home and 19-1 SU in their last 20 games when playing at home against Cleveland. The Browns are 1-10 SU and 2-9 against the spread in their last 11 games. They are also 0-7 against the spread in their last 7 games on the road.
Fearless Forecast: This is a no-brainer. The Steelers will clobber the Browns at home 27-14, easily covering the -5.5-point spread on FanDuel.
Our betting prediction for the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. the Cleveland Browns: the Steelers will cover -5.5 points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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