Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 16 Norway
Casper Ruud
5/1/25 07:00
ATP 8
Daniil Medvedev

Prediction:

 

Casper Ruud -3.5 Games

 

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 by Lou Aguila | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

Casper Ruud will swing for his first clay court semifinal appearance this year on Thursday when he goes toe-to-toe with Danii Medvedev of Russia in their Thursday’s quarterfinal match at the 2025 Mutua Madrid Open.

After earlier-than-expected exits at Monte Carlo and Barcelona, Ruud has taken his level of play a notch higher in Madrid, where he ousted Arthur Rinderknech 6-3 6-4, Sebastian Korda 6-3 6-3, and Taylor Fritz 7-5 6-4. In the victory over Fritz, Ruud produced 33 points off his first serves and created separations from the American with 3 breakpoint conversions.

Medvedev booked his first quarterfinal appearance on clay this year after staving off a serious upset bid from Brandon Nakashima 3-6 6-1 6-4 in the fourth round. The Russian completed his comeback from a set down by winning 78 percent of his first serves and securing 4 service breaks.

Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev Form

Casper Ruud and Daniil Medvedev Latest Matches

Casper Ruud Latest matches
W W L W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

Apr 27, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Sebastian Korda
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

Apr 25, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Arthur Rinderknech
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

Apr 18, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Holger Rune
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

Apr 16, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Hamad Medjedovic
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

Apr 15, 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Daniel Elahi Galan
0 :  2
Casper Ruud
Daniil Medvedev Latest matches
L W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Apr 29, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Brandon Nakashima

Apr 27, 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Apr 10, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

Apr 9, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Alexandre Muller

Apr 7, 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Karen Khachanov

Mar 21, 2025 - ATP Miami

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Jaume Munar

Casper Ruud against Daniil Medvedev : Head to Head (H2H)

Casper Ruud

0 %

Daniil Medvedev

100 %

Nov 20, 2021 - ATP Finals

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

Jun 24, 2021 - ATP Mallorca Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud - Daniil Medvedev Key Points

  1. Casper Ruud is a former Madrid Open semifinalist.
  2. Daniil Medvedev defeated Brandon Nakashima 3-6, 6-1, 6-4 in the fourth round of the 2025 Madrid Open.
  3. Daniil Medvedev will be playing his first clay-court quarterfinal this year.
  4. Casper Ruud defeated Taylor Fritz 7-5, 6-4 in the fourth round of the 2025 Madrid Open.

Our Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction

Fearless Forecast: Casper Ruud scores a sweep over Daniil Medvedev.

I am picking Casper Ruud to win his quarterfinal round match, despite being 0-3 head-to-head with Daniil Medvedev, because he’s a much better player on the red dirt. Ruud didn’t start his favorite season strongly, but a troika of straight-set wins in Madrid indicates that the Norwegian clay-court expert is back. Medvedev, meanwhile, has gone through a lighter side of the bracket, beating non-top 20 players such as Laslo Djere and Brandon Nakashima to secure his first clay-court quarterfinal. Our betting prediction for Casper Ruud vs. Daniil Medvedev: Casper Ruud -3.5 Games

Prediction:

 

Casper Ruud -3.5 Games

 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Casper Ruud vs Daniil Medvedev Picks