Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Prediction & Picks - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP 14 Norway
Casper Ruud
4/30/26 07:00
ATP 37 Belgium
Alexander Blockx

Prediction:

 

Alexander Blockx +3.5 Game Handicap

-125
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Bradley Gibbs | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Picks

One of Thursday's ATP quarter-finals in Madrid sees Casper Ruud take on Alexander Blockx. As the higher-ranked player and the more experienced player, who won this event a year ago, Casper Ruud is naturally the favorite, and he's quite a strong one too. However, we should not rush to assume that Alexander Blockx will crumble under the pressure, which he has so far risen to with aplomb at this tournament. 

Not only did the young Belgian, who is performing beyond his current ranking of 69 right now, defeat Felix Auger-Aliassime in straight sets, but he comes here having brushsed aside a very strong clay-court player in Francisco Cerundolo last time out. Such a win tells us that he can compete against Ruud, especially after the Norwegian played out a hugely energy-sapping, three-set match against a decent player last time out. 

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Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Form

Casper Ruud and Alexander Blockx Latest Matches

Casper Ruud Latest matches
L W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 28, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
1 :  2
Casper Ruud

Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jaume Munar
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

Apr 8, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

Apr 7, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alexei Popyrin
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami

Casper Ruud
0 :  2
Ethan Quinn
Alexander Blockx Latest matches
W L W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Apr 28, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  2
Alexander Blockx

Apr 27, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alexander Blockx
2 :  0
Felix Auger Aliassime

Apr 25, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Brandon Nakashima
1 :  2
Alexander Blockx

Apr 23, 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Christian Garin
1 :  2
Alexander Blockx

Apr 15, 2026 - ATP Munich Open

Alexander Blockx
0 :  2
Ben Shelton

Apr 13, 2026 - ATP Munich Open

Alexander Blockx
2 :  0
Yannick Hanfmann

Casper Ruud - Alexander Blockx Key Points

  1. Casper Ruud endured a very tough match last time out and may not be too fresh.
  2. Alexander Blockx comes off of back-to-back straight-set victories and should be fresher than his opponent.
  3. Alexander Blockx defeated a higher-ranked player last time out.
  4. Alexander Blockx has now won three consecutive matches against higher-ranked players.
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Our Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Prediction

Given that he's the reigning champion in Madrid, and following his win against an in-form Stefanos Tsitsipas, Casper Ruud was always going to be quite a heavy favorite here, but is the early market neglecting his opponent a little too much? Perhaps. After all, Ruud did endure a tough, energy-sapping match against Tsitsipas last time out, so he may not be totally fresh. 

In contrast, Alexander Blockx won in straight sets and is likely fresher, while he's clearly enjoying the conditions in Madrid, so don't be too surprised if the Belgian really pushed Ruud here. 

Our Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Pick: Alexander Blockx +3.5 Game Handicap.

Prediction:

 

Alexander Blockx +3.5 Game Handicap

-125
$200 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx Picks