Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Prediction & Picks - ATP Japan Open
ATP - ATP Japan Open
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by Lou Aguila | in Tennis Picks
Carlos Alcaraz will walk into an acid test against Jiri Lehecka as he sets his sights on another Japan Open title on Tuesday.
DraftKings has listed Alcaraz at +240 to win in three sets.
Current Form:
Carlos Alcaraz proved once again that his latest form can overcome any adversity, including a recent test from compatriot Jaume Munar in the semifinals. Alcaraz rallied back from a set down to beat Munar 5-7, 6-3, 6-1. The Spaniard scored 41 return points and converted 6 breakpoints in this match. The former world No.1 is one win away from defending his Japan Open title.
Jiri Lehecka sustained his lethal form to dispatch Valentin Vacherot 6-4, 6-2 in straight sets. Lehecka, who is winning 88 percent of his first serves in Tokyo, won 22 of 24 points off the first serves and broke Vacherot 3 times. Lehecka has now swept his last two matches after surviving three-set matches in the first two rounds.
Head-to-Head: Alcaraz is 3-1 head-to-head vs. Lehecka.
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Form
Carlos Alcaraz and Jiri Lehecka Latest Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 5, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Oct 3, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Oct 1, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 8, 2026 - ATP US Open
Sep 6, 2026 - ATP US Open
Sep 4, 2026 - ATP US Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Oct 5, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Oct 4, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Oct 3, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 29, 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 18, 2026 - Davis Cup
Sep 4, 2026 - ATP US Open
Carlos Alcaraz against Jiri Lehecka : Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
Sep 2, 2025 - ATP US Open
Jun 22, 2025 - ATP London - Queen's
Feb 20, 2025 - ATP Qatar Open
Jun 22, 2023 - ATP London - Queen's
Carlos Alcaraz - Jiri Lehecka Key Points
- Carlos Alcaraz is 9-1 since his return from a wrist injury.
- Carlos Alcaraz is the defending Japan Open champion.
- Jiri Lehecka is 1-3 vs. top-5 players.
- Jiri Lehecka is 19-10 on hard courts in 2026.
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Our Carlos Alcaraz vs Jiri Lehecka Prediction
Key Stats: Aside from winning 86 percent of his first serves, Jiri Lehecka has only dropped one service game and faced 4 breakpoints across 4 matches in Japan.
Alcaraz, meanwhile, has dealt massive damage as a returner, converting 18 of 37 breakpoints he has created throughout the week.
What to Expect: A three-set banger. Alcaraz will play another three-set match for the second straight day and once again deliver in the clutch to capture a title in Tokyo.
Lehecka will put on a gallant effort to dethrone the champion, but he will find out that a healthy Alcaraz is just on another level.
Alcaraz offers a tantalizing value at +240 to win in three sets over Lehecka. For a safer approach, bettors can pick over 2.5 sets, which pays out $135 for every $100 bet at +135 on DraftKings.
Fearless Forecast: Carlos Alcaraz wins 5-7, 6-3, 6-4
Our betting prediction for Carlos Alcaraz vs. Jiri Lehecka: Carlos Alcaraz 2-1 Sets
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
