Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev Prediction & Picks - ATP Indian Wells

Prediction published on 3/14/26, 3:14 PM  by Tyler Doty | Modified on 3/14/26 at 8:15 PM in ATP Indian Wells Picks

Despite winning the Dubai tournament, Daniil Medvedev did not arrive in Indian Wells in the best of conditions. Stuck in the United Arab Emirates due to the war, the Russian was finally able to make his way to the United States just before the start of this Masters 1000 tournament. However, this did not prevent the world number 11 from reaching the semi-finals in California! Daniil Medvedev had to contend with a very even draw, as in the early rounds where he had to face well-known players on the circuit such as Alejandro Tabilo and Sebastian Baez. Having dominated the clay-court specialists, the Russian then managed to get the better of American Alex Michelsen (6-2, 6-4) and then defending champion Jack Draper of Great Britain (6-1, 7-5). A perfect run without losing a set is the best way to arrive full of confidence to face the big favorite, Carlos Alcaraz.

The Spaniard continues his flawless run in 2026. After victories over Grigor Dimitrov and Arthur Rinderknech, the world number one raised his level to dominate Norway's Casper Ruud (6-1, 7-6) and Britain's Cameron Norrie (6-3, 6-4). With 16 wins in 16 matches this year, the Spanish tennis player remains undefeated and hopes to continue that run on Saturday to reach the final and aim for a third title at the Indian Wells Masters 1000.