Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
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by Lou Aguila | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Picks
Cameron Norrie eyes his third consecutive win over Alex De Minaur in the second round of the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters.
Momentum: Cameron Norrie opened his clay-court season with a gutsy three-set win over Miomir Kecmanovic 6-2, 4-6, 7-6. Meanwhile, Alex De Minaur will be trying to rebound from a shaky stretch, during which he has gone 1-3 after winning the Rotterdam Open.
Matchup: Cameron Norrie surprisingly has a 3-2 head-to-head advantage over the world’s No.6, Alex De Minaur. Norrie recently defeated the Australian 6-4, 6-4 at the 2026 Indian Wells Open. Norrie flaunts a 63 percent win rate on clay court. De Minaur owns a 57 percent win rate on this surface.
Hot on the Board: Cameron Norrie is a valuable underdog moneyline pick at +175, and a solid ATS pick at -130 on the +3.5 game spread line. De Minaur is a -240 favorite despite her shaky form. The over/under is set at 22.5 Games.
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Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur Form
Cameron Norrie and Alex De Minaur Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Apr 5, 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Mar 21, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 12, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 11, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 9, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Mar 20, 2026 - ATP Miami
Mar 9, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Mar 7, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Feb 23, 2026 - ATP Acapulco Open
Feb 15, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
Feb 14, 2026 - ATP Rotterdam
Cameron Norrie against Alex De Minaur : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Mar 9, 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Dec 29, 2023 - United Cup
Aug 8, 2023 - ATP Toronto
Cameron Norrie - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Cameron Norrie owns a 63 percent win rate on hard court.
- Cameron Norrie is 3-2 vs. Alex De Minaur
- Alex De Minuar is 1-3 in his last four matches.
- Alex De Minaur carries a 57 percent win rate on hard court.
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Our Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Fearless Forecast: Cameron Norrie upsets Alex De Minaur again 6-4, 3-6, 6-4
Best Pick: Cameron Norrie +3.5 Games
Cameron Norrie is silently putting together a solid campaign this season with a 10-7 record and 6-5 slate against the ATP top-100, including a top-10 win against De Minaur at Indian Wells. Norrie will face the same opponent again in the second round of the 2026 Monte Carlo Masters. Apart from his impressive 63 percent win rate on clay, Norrie has a 3-2 lead on De Minaur in their head-to-head series. In fact, the Brit has beaten De Minaur in their last two meetings and pushed him to three sets in their first and only clay-court duel in Barcelona in 2022.
Of course, I could have chosen Norrie to win straight up and taken a chance on a +175 reward. However, De Minaur is the world’s No.6 player on the ATP rankings. He might be in flux right now, but everybody knows he has the tools to turn things around at any moment.
Our betting prediction for Cameron Norrie vs. Alex De Minaur: Cameron Norrie +3.5 Games
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
