Cameron Norrie vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Picks - ATP Indian Wells

Prediction published on 3/9/26, 10:32 AM  by Lou Aguila | Modified on 3/10/26 at 10:44 PM in ATP Indian Wells Picks

Alex De Minaur’s wobbly form as of late could open the door for Cameron Norrie to cover the spread at +4.5 games in Monday’s third-round match at the 2026 Indian Wells Open.

Current Form:

Alex De Minaur averted another early-round exit after grinding out a 4-6, 6-4, 6-4 win over Sebastian Korda in the second round of the 2026 Indian Wells Open. De Minaur, who is trying to rebound from a stunning second-round exit at the hands of Patrick Kypson in Acapulco, 1-6, 7-6, 6-7, responded to the challenge after dropping two service games in the first set as he held all his remaining serves in the second and third frames while securing two key breakpoints that created the separations he needed to finish off Korda.

Cameron Norrie made quick work of Mackenzie McDonald 6-2, 6-3 to reach the third round in tennis paradise. Ranked No.29 in the world, Norrie is 6-5 on the season with a 68.9% saved breakpoint percentage and 71.8% first serve won percentage. Norrie, 4-4 in tiebreakers this year, is 12-44 against the ATP top-10 players in his career.