Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction & Picks - NHL

USA - NHL

Calgary Flames
10/28/25 18:00
Toronto Maple Leafs

Prediction:

 

Over 5.5 goals

-130
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 by Taavi Pailk in NHL Picks

NHL basement team, the Calgary Flames, continue their season on Tuesday night with a tough road game against the Toronto Maple Leafs at the Scotiabank Arena.

The Flames have a 2-7-1 record and only five points on the board. The team averages the fewest goals per game in the league (2.00) and has the seventh-worst defensive record, allowing 3.50 goals.

Things appear to be grim for Ryan Huska's side, but Calgary will have regained some confidence from Sunday's 5-1 victory against the New York Rangers and their stingy defense.

Toronto also can't be happy with how the season has started. Everybody not named William Nylander seems to be sleepwalking, and Craig Berube's team has earned just nine points through nine games, going 4-4-1.

On Tuesday, the Maple Leafs will attempt to win back-to-back games for only the second time this season. However, they might have to do so without Nylander, who missed Saturday's 4-3 overtime victory against the Buffalo Sabres due to a lower-body injury.

Offensively, Toronto has leaned heavily on Nylander's line, and the team has maintained a strong attacking record, averaging 3.44 goals per game. However, defense has been a major concern for Berube, as the Maple Leafs have allowed 3.67 goals a night, the fifth-most in the league.

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Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Form

Table

Teams Pts P W L GD
12
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
9 9 4 5 -2
16
Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames
5 10 2 8 -14

Calgary Flames and Toronto Maple Leafs Latest Matches

Calgary Flames
Calgary Flames Latest matches
L L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Oct 26, 2025 - NHL

New York Rangers
1 :  5
Calgary Flames

Oct 24, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
3 :  5
Winnipeg Jets

Oct 22, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
2 :  1
Calgary Flames

Oct 20, 2025 - NHL

Winnipeg Jets
2 :  1
Calgary Flames

Oct 18, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
1 :  6
Vegas Golden Knights

Oct 15, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
1 :  3
Utah Mammoth
W W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 26, 2025 - NHL

New York Rangers
1 :  5
Calgary Flames

Oct 22, 2025 - NHL

Montreal Canadiens
2 :  1
Calgary Flames

Oct 20, 2025 - NHL

Winnipeg Jets
2 :  1
Calgary Flames

Oct 14, 2025 - NHL

Vegas Golden Knights
4 :  2
Calgary Flames

Oct 11, 2025 - NHL

St. Louis Blues
4 :  2
Calgary Flames

Apr 15, 2025 - NHL

Vegas Golden Knights
4 :  5
Calgary Flames
L W W L L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 24, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
3 :  5
Winnipeg Jets

Oct 18, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
1 :  6
Vegas Golden Knights

Oct 15, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
1 :  3
Utah Mammoth

Oct 9, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
1 :  5
Vancouver Canucks

Oct 8, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
4 :  3
Edmonton Oilers

Apr 17, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
5 :  1
Los Angeles Kings
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs Latest matches
W L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 25, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
3 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 24, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  5
Buffalo Sabres

Oct 21, 2025 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
5 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 18, 2025 - NHL

Seattle Kraken
4 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 16, 2025 - NHL

New York Rangers
1 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 14, 2025 - NHL

Nashville Predators
4 :  7
Toronto Maple Leafs
L W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Oct 25, 2025 - NHL

Buffalo Sabres
3 :  4
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 21, 2025 - NHL

New Jersey Devils
5 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 18, 2025 - NHL

Seattle Kraken
4 :  3
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 16, 2025 - NHL

New York Rangers
1 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 14, 2025 - NHL

Nashville Predators
4 :  7
Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 13, 2025 - NHL

Detroit Red Wings
3 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Oct 24, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  5
Buffalo Sabres

Oct 11, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
3 :  6
Detroit Red Wings

May 16, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
2 :  0
Florida Panthers

May 11, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
0 :  2
Florida Panthers

May 9, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4 :  5
Florida Panthers

May 1, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4 :  2
Ottawa Senators

Calgary Flames against Toronto Maple Leafs : Head to Head (H2H)

Calgary Flames

17 %

Toronto Maple Leafs

83 %

Mar 17, 2025 - NHL

Calgary Flames
2 :  6
Toronto Maple Leafs

Feb 4, 2025 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
6 :  3
Calgary Flames

Dec 10, 2022 - NHL

Calgary Flames
4 :  5
Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 12, 2021 - NHL

Calgary Flames
1 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 13, 2021 - NHL

Calgary Flames
3 :  2
Toronto Maple Leafs

Apr 4, 2021 - NHL

Toronto Maple Leafs
4 :  2
Calgary Flames

Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs Key Points

  1. The Maple Leafs have won all six head-to-head matchups between these teams since the 2022-23 campaign.
  2. The Flames haven't won in Toronto since 2021, suffering four consecutive defeats with a combined score of 18-11.
  3. Toronto has picked up all of its four wins this season on home ice, going 4-2-1 at the Scotiabank Arena.
  4. Calgary has a 1-4-0 record on the road, having lost four consecutive games away from home and scoring only one goal in three of those contests.
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Our Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction

With both defenses leaking goals, there appears to be a strong chance that the fans will be treated to an entertaining affair in Toronto on Tuesday night. Many of the recent head-to-head clashes between the Maple Leafs and Flames have also turned into goalfests.

Six of the last seven meetings have finished with at least seven goals scored. Last season, the Maple Leafs won 6-2 at home and earned a 6-3 victory on away ice. Nylander and Auston Matthews had three points in both games.

Our prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Calgary Flames: Over 5.5 goals.

Prediction:

 

Over 5.5 goals

-130
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Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs Picks