Burnley vs Sunderland Prediction & Picks - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Erik Gibbs | in Premier League Picks
Burnley and Sunderland meet on the pitch this Saturday. This match is a clash of newly promoted sides. Burnley won the Championship last season and have Premier League experience under manager Vincent Kompany. Sunderland earned promotion via playoffs, led by former Burnley coach Tony Mowbray. The contrasting results in Week 1 highlight their differing trajectories.
Burnley lost 3-0 at Tottenham on August 16, showing they were outclassed by the likes of Richarlison and Brennan Johnson. While Burnley competed respectably at times, they ultimately lacked firepower and defensive cohesion away to Spurs. That night, Owen Dodgson and Lyle Foster had chances but failed to score.
In friendlies they had ended May with mixed results, so confidence might be low. Burnley’s squad includes seasoned keeper Martin Dúbravka, attacking winger Lyle Foster, and midfield presence from Josh Laurent. Foster (ex-Norwich) in particular was a Championship star and will need to be dangerous again for Burnley to threaten opponents. They will hope that returning to Turf Moor (their strong fortress) reignites form.
Sunderland, by contrast, enjoyed a fairy-tale start. In their opener they thumped West Ham 3-0 at home, with goals from Eliezer Mayenda, Simon Adingra, and Jack Clarke (via penalty). Sunderland’s league form is now 1-0-0 with 3 points, the same as Tottenham and Spurs, and much of the credit goes to strong midfield work (Cormack and Brady stepping up) and second-half impact.
The Black Cats have momentum and belief. Their key players include Mayenda (a physical striker who scored twice on debut), Trai Hume (dynamic left back involved in attack), and defender Dan Ballard, who scored the second goal. Also watch midfielder Sam Greenwood, who had a great season last year but hasn't scored yet. Sunderland have shown they can compete at this level.
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Burnley vs Sunderland Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Burnley and Sunderland Latest Matches
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 18, 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League
Aug 13, 2025 - National League Cup
Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 18, 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
May 3, 2025 - Championship
Apr 22, 2025 - Professional Development League
Apr 21, 2025 - Championship
Apr 11, 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League
Aug 13, 2025 - National League Cup
Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League
Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 16, 2025 - Premier League
Aug 10, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
May 13, 2025 - Championship
May 3, 2025 - Championship
Apr 21, 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 29, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 26, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 21, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 19, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Jul 12, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Burnley against Sunderland : Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
Jan 17, 2025 - Championship
Aug 24, 2024 - Championship
Mar 31, 2023 - Championship
Mar 18, 2017 - Premier League
Jan 17, 2017 - FA Cup
Dec 31, 2016 - Premier League
Burnley against Sunderland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Weiss
DefenderO. Sonne
L. Pires
J. Worrall
A. Ramsey
Z. Flemming
J. Laurent
L. Tchaouna
M. Edwards
A. Patterson
DefenderJ. Seelt
A. Masuaku
MidfielderC. Rigg
E. Le Fee
D. Neil
P. Roberts
W. Isidor
M. Guiu
Missing players
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
B. Humphreys
ForwardZ. Amdouni
A. Alese
D. Cirkin
MidfielderL. O'Nien
Most goals and assists
Burnley - Sunderland Key Points
- The Under 2.5 goals is 2-1 in Burnley's last 3 games vs. Sunderland
- Sunderland are 2-1-2 in their last 5 games vs. Burnley
- Burnley average 1.54 total goals per game
- The Over 2.5 goals hit in each of the team's season starter games
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Our Burnley vs Sunderland Prediction
In examining each side’s form and talent, Burnley will rely on Lyle Foster to lead the line and on newcomers like Álex Moreno (if fit) at left back. Midfielders such as Jack Cork (if still there) and Ömer Toprak will have to organize things. Sunderland’s top players have the edge: Mayenda and Adingra provide pace up front, while Jack Clarke offers set-piece prowess.
Defensively, Dan Neil and Jan Robe Novak make Sunderland hard to break down. The predicted outcome leans toward Sunderland’s win. Their dominant opening performance and upward momentum suggest they can carry confidence into this match.
=11.0ptBurnley’s home advantage is real, but given Sunderland’s superiority at the moment, the likely result is a Sunderland victory – possibly by multiple goals if they break early – or at least a hard-fought win. A draw is also conceivable if Burnley regroup, but most signs favor the visitors in this matchup. Our prediction for Burnley vs Sunderland: Burnley to win a close game.All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.