Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Burnley
12/30/25 14:30
Newcastle

Prediction:

 

Florentino to Receive a Card

+275
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 by Bradley Gibbs in Premier League Picks

After a very short break, the English Premier League is back on our screens on Tuesday, when six games will take place, including one at Turf Moor, where Burnley and Newcastle are due to lock horns. The league table may not suggest so, but it is perhaps the hosts who come into this fixture feeling the most positive. Scott Parker's men continue to search for their first win since October, but they've tightened up a little in recent weeks, first holding Bournemouth to a tie on the road, conceding just once, before tying 0-0 with Leeds at home last time out, keeping their first clean sheet in more than two months. Can they build on that and finally get that next win? 

For the Magpies, the festive period hasn't gone very well. Eddie Howe's men beat Burnley in front of a home crowd on December 6th, but they've since won just one out of five in all competitions, losing (without scoring) in the league to both Sunderland and Manchester United. Such form does not exactly point towards a team that's about to make light work of getting the job done on the road. 

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Burnley vs Newcastle Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14
Newcastle
Newcastle
23 18 6 5 7 0
19
Burnley
Burnley
12 18 3 3 12 -15

Burnley and Newcastle Latest Matches

Burnley
Burnley Latest matches
L L L L D D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Everton

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Burnley

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  3
Fulham

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Burnley

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Crystal Palace

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Burnley
W L L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Everton

Dec 13, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  3
Fulham

Dec 3, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Crystal Palace

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea

Nov 1, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Arsenal

Oct 18, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds
L W L L L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Burnley

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Burnley

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Burnley

Nov 8, 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
3 :  2
Burnley

Oct 26, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
2 :  3
Burnley

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley
Newcastle
Newcastle Latest matches
W D L W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 26, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Chelsea

Dec 17, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  1
Fulham

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  2
Newcastle

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Burnley
W W D W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Dec 20, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Chelsea

Dec 17, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
2 :  1
Fulham

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Burnley

Dec 2, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Tottenham

Nov 22, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Manchester City

Nov 5, 2025 - Champions League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
L L W D L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 26, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 14, 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
1 :  0
Newcastle

Dec 10, 2025 - Champions League

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  2
Newcastle

Nov 29, 2025 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  4
Newcastle

Nov 25, 2025 - Champions League

Marseille
2 :  1
Newcastle

Nov 9, 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Newcastle

Burnley against Newcastle : Head to Head (H2H)

Burnley

0 %

Draw

17 %

Newcastle

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

Dec 6, 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Burnley

May 4, 2024 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  4
Newcastle

Sep 30, 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  0
Burnley

May 22, 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  2
Newcastle

Dec 4, 2021 - Premier League

Newcastle
1 :  0
Burnley

Aug 25, 2021 - Carabao Cup

Newcastle
0 :  0
Burnley

Newcastle v Burnley last Lineups

Burnley

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

1
M. Dubravka
29
J. Laurent
12
B. Humphreys
18
H. Ekdal
2
K. Walker
8
L. Ugochukwu
24
J. Cullen
23
L. Pires
10
M. Edwards
27
A. Broja
7
J. Bruun Larsen
10
A. Gordon
27
N. Woltemade
23
J. Murphy
41
J. Ramsey
8
S. Tonali
39
B. Guimaraes
3
L. Hall
5
F. Schar
12
M. Thiaw
67
L. Miley
32
A. Ramsdale

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Newcastle

Missing players

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

C. Roberts

L. Beyer

M. Esteve

A. Tuanzebe

J. Worrall

Midfielder

H. Mejbri

J. Cullen

Forward

Z. Amdouni

L. Foster

Newcastle
Newcastle
Defender

K. Trippier

E. Krafth

S. Botman

D. Burn

J. Lascelles

T. Livramento

Forward

W. Osula

A. Elanga

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Newcastle
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (6 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Germany N. Woltemade (9 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands Q. Hartman (4 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil B. Guimaraes (4 Assists)
Italy S. Tonali (4 Assists)

Burnley and Newcastle Stats in Premier League

Burnley
Burnley
Newcastle
Newcastle
17%
Victories
33%
17%
Draw
28%
67%
Defeats
39%
2.94
Total goals per match
2.56
1.06
Goals scored per match
1.28
1.89
Goals conceded per match
1.28
50%
Over 2.5
61%
50%
Under 2.5
39%
56%
BTTS
61%
17%
No goals conceded
28%

Burnley - Newcastle Key Points

  1. Only one player has made more fouls for Burnley than Florentino in the EPL this season.
  2. When these two teams met earlier in the season, Florentino made multiple fouls.
  3. Florentino has made two or more fouls in games against Newcastle, Chelsea, Man City and Aston Villa this season.
  4. For Benfica last season, Florentio averaged 0.32 cards per 90 minutes.
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Our Burnley vs Newcastle Prediction

Burnley's Florentino hasn't always started in the middle of Scott Parker's preferred three-man midfield, but the Portuguese destroyer is likely to feature from the outset here given that Josh Cullen is injured. Florentino is no stranger to fouling, while he's not exactly going to get an easy game against the likes of Joelinton, Sandro Tonali and Bruno Guimaraes in the Newcastle midfield, so do not be surprised if he steps beyond the rules a few times. 

After all, only one Burnley player has made more fouls than Florentino this season, with the 26-year-old averaging 1.55 fouls per 90 minutes. Away against Newcastle he made multiple fouls, doing so also in big games against Chelsea, Aston Villa and Man City. Rob Jones is a referee who has also dished out plenty of cards in recent weeks, showing four or more yellows in four of his last five games.

All things considered, odds of +275 look a little generous, let's be honest. 

Our Burnley vs Newcastle Pick: Florentino to Receive a Card. 

Prediction:

 

Florentino to Receive a Card

+275
$200 offered for betting!

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