Burnley vs Leeds Prediction & Picks - Premier League

England - Premier League

Burnley
10/18/25 10:00
Leeds

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-105
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 by Bradley Gibbs | in Premier League Picks

One of the five games due to kick off at 10:00 EST on Saturday is the one at Turf Moor, where two of the newly promoted trio will lock horns. It's Burnley vs Leeds. This quite simply goes down as a massive game for both teams. If either side is to beat the drop this season, then winning games of this nature, against direct relegation rivals, is key. If either team can emerge victorious from this, it will be a huge three points. 

Prior to the international break, we saw the Clarets lose to Aston Villa, but their defeat was only marginal, with Scott Parker's men delivering some clear positives. Can they build on those positives against a mistake-prone Leeds team that looks very weak at the back? Time will soon tell. 

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Burnley vs Leeds Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14 Leeds
47 38 11 14 13 -7
19 Burnley
22 38 4 10 24 -37

Burnley and Leeds Latest Matches

Burnley
Burnley Latest matches
L L L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 17, 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup

Burnley
3 :  2
Stockport County

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Oct 5, 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  1
Chelsea

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

Sep 26, 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  3
Sunderland

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Cardiff
L D L L L W
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 17, 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup

Burnley
3 :  2
Stockport County

Oct 5, 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  1
Chelsea

Sep 26, 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup

Burnley
0 :  3
Sunderland

Sep 23, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  2
Cardiff

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

Sep 14, 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  1
Liverpool
L D L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

Oct 5, 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  1
Burnley

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
5 :  1
Burnley

Sep 23, 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup

Cardiff City
1 :  2
Burnley

Sep 19, 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup

Southampton
2 :  1
Burnley

Sep 16, 2025 - National League Cup

Solihull Moors
0 :  0
Burnley

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  2
Burnley
Leeds
Leeds Latest matches
D D L W D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 26, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Leeds
D D W D D L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Oct 4, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

Sep 27, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

Aug 30, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

Aug 18, 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Everton

Aug 9, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

Aug 2, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
Villarreal
W D L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Sep 20, 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

Sep 13, 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds

Aug 26, 2025 - Carabao Cup

Sheffield Wednesday
1 :  1
Leeds

Aug 23, 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
5 :  0
Leeds

Jul 19, 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
0 :  0
Leeds

May 3, 2025 - Championship

Plymouth
1 :  2
Leeds

Burnley against Leeds : Head to Head (H2H)

Burnley

17 %

Draw

33 %

Leeds

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

Jan 27, 2025 - Championship

Burnley
0 :  0
Leeds

Sep 14, 2024 - Championship

Leeds
0 :  1
Burnley

Jan 2, 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Burnley

Aug 29, 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
1 :  1
Leeds

May 15, 2021 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  4
Leeds

Dec 27, 2020 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Burnley

Burnley against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11

Burnley

Formation : 5 - 4 - 1

1
M. Dubravka
2
K. Walker
8
L. Ugochukwu
6
A. Tuanzebe
5
M. Esteve
3
Q. Hartman
7
J. Bruun Larsen
24
J. Cullen
16
F. Luis
11
J. Anthony
19
Z. Flemming
20
J. Harrison
9
D. Calvert-Lewin
11
B. Aaronson
18
A. Stach
4
E. Ampadu
8
S. Longstaff
3
G. Gudmundsson
5
P. Struijk
6
J. Rodon
2
J. Bogle
26
K. Darlow

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Leeds

Substitutes

Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper

M. Weiss

Defender

H. Ekdal

L. Pires

Midfielder

H. Mejbri

L. Ugochukwu 83'

J. Laurent

Z. Flemming 77'

Forward

A. Barnes

J. Anthony 83'

L. Tchaouna

J. Bruun Larsen 58'

A. Broja

M. Edwards

Leeds
Leeds
Goalkeeper

L. Perri

Defender

S. Bornauw

J. Justin

J. Bijol

Midfielder

I. Gruev

A. Tanaka

E. Ampadu 81'

Forward

J. Piroe

A. Stach 73'

D. James

B. Aaronson 66'

L. Nmecha

J. Harrison 66'

Missing players

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

C. Roberts

J. Beyer

Forward

Z. Amdouni

Leeds
Leeds
Forward

N. Okafor

G. Wilfried

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Burnley
CD Huachipato Leeds
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England D. Calvert-Lewin (14 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands Q. Hartman (5 Assists)
Best assists
USA B. Aaronson (5 Assists)

Burnley - Leeds Key Points

  1. Both teams scored and conceded in their final game before the international break.
  2. In all competitions. both teams have scored in six of Burnley's last seven.
  3. In nine games in all competitions this season, the hosts have kept just one clean sheet.
  4. The visitors have kept only two clean sheets in eight (in all competitions) this term.
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Our Burnley vs Leeds Prediction

For my money, the early market is underestimating the chance of both teams notching here. In other words, odds of -105 offer some value for money. Let's face it, both teams will fancy themselves to do damage at Turf Moor, with both clearly lining this up ass a game to attack.

Neither side has defended well of late, while both are starting to make a habit of getting the ball in the net, and I simply don't believe that early odds of -105 are an accurate enough reflection of that. Take the early value. Our Burnley vs Leeds Pick: Both Teams to Score. 

Prediction:

 

Both Teams to Score

-105
$350 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Burnley vs Leeds Picks