Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Prediction & Picks - NFL
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by Travis Pulver | in NFL Picks
The Denver Broncos will get a shot at redemption Saturday afternoon when they host the Buffalo Bills in the AFC Divisional Playoffs. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30 p.m. EST on Saturday, January 17, at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO, with coverage provided by CBS.
This will be Buffalo's second consecutive postseason meeting with the Broncos. Last year, it was in an AFC Wild Card game hosted by the Bills. Buffalo was the No. 2 seed last season with a 13-4 record, while the Broncos were 10-7 and the No. 7 seed. Denver got on the board first with a touchdown on the opening drive of the game, but the Bills controlled the game the rest of the way, scoring 31 unanswered points.
But this season, the Broncos have one of the best defenses in the league: No. 2 in total yards allowed (277.2 ypg), No. 2 in rushing yards allowed (91.1 ypg), and No. 3 in scoring (18.3 ppg). However, on the offensive side of the ball, while Bo Nix has improved tremendously from his rookie season, the offense is prone to stalling and/or struggling to get started at times. Buffalo still has Josh Allen at quarterback and has developed the No. 1 rushing offense in the league. However, while they excel at running the ball, they struggle to stop it (No. 28, 136.2 ypg allowed). If the Broncos can keep Josh Allen, Denver’s path to the AFC Championship game gets a lot easier.
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Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Form
Denver Broncos and Buffalo Bills Latest Matches
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Denver Broncos against Buffalo Bills : Head to Head (H2H)
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Denver Broncos - Buffalo Bills Key Points
- Buffalo leads the all-time series vs. Denver 24-17-1, including two prior postseason games (both won by Buffalo).
- With a win, Bo Nix can become the second quarterback drafted by the Broncos to win a postseason game for Denver (Tim Tebow was the first).
- Buffalo is 1-0 SU and ATS when an underdog on the road this season; Denver is 6-1 SU when favored at home and 3-4 ATS.
- Betting Public: 73% of TOTAL tickets and 71% of the handle are on the OVER.
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Our Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills Prediction
Home teams often get three points just because of home-field advantage, but the Broncos are just 1.5-point favorites, which suggests the Bills should give them an incredible fight. That means it will be a close, hard-fought, competitive game, which has me hesitant to pick a winner, SU or ATS. However, we are talking about a Denver defense that can shut down James Cook and harass Josh Allen all day long. While Bo Nix has been much better than he was during his rookie season, the Denver offense is not the most reliable. The Broncos may not have a running game capable of exploiting Buffalo’s run defense issues. This will all translate to a low-scoring game.
Our Buffalo vs. Denver Pick: UNDER 46.5
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