Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks - MLB
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by Matt Lowrimore | in MLB Picks
A full 15-game MLB slate is scheduled for Tuesday, one of which will include an Interleague matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Boston Red Sox. Let’s take a look at the match statistics and predictions for this game between the Red Sox and the Marlins.
Boston enters this game several games over .500 and is currently in third place in the American League East division. That said, the Red Sox are comfortably holding the second AL Wild-Card spot. Starting this game for Boston will be Payton Tolle, who has a record of 8-6 and an ERA of 3.08. Tolle has been particularly effective when pitching on the road, suggesting he will also be able to limit the Marlins’ offense.
As for Miami, they enter this game with their playoff hopes hanging by a thread. The Marlins are currently in third place in the National League East division, but they are only a handful of games behind the final NL Wild-Card spot. Starting this game for the Marlins will be Tyler Phillips, who has a record of 3-6 and an ERA of 3.67. More importantly, Phillips has been lights out at home, suggesting he will be able to slow down even the Red Sox offense.
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Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Form
Table
| Teams | Pts | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0.55 | 131 | 72 | 59 |
|
12
|
0.508 | 132 | 67 | 65 |
Miami Marlins and Boston Red Sox Latest Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 24, 2026 - MLB
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Aug 18, 2026 - MLB
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Aug 23, 2026 - MLB
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Aug 24, 2026 - MLB
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Aug 12, 2026 - MLB
Miami Marlins against Boston Red Sox : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
Aug 24, 2026 - MLB
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Miami Marlins - Boston Red Sox Key Points
- Payton Tolle has an ERA of 3.08 this season
- Payton Tolle has an ERA of 2.52 on the road this season
- Tyler Phillips has an ERA of 3.67 this season
- Tyler Phillips has an ERA of 2.14 at home this season
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Our Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
The Red Sox are the heavy favorite in this game; however, the under looks to be the best betting option. Granted, the total in this game is set low, but the home/away splits between the two starting pitchers have been strong enough to believe that only a few runs could be scored.
Tolle has made 10 away starts this season, having allowed 19 runs (17 earned) over 60.2 innings. Phillips, on the other hand, has made 17 home appearances (8 starts), in which he has allowed 15 runs (14 earned) over 59.0 innings. Because of this, our Miami Marlins vs Boston Red Sox prediction is: Under 7.5 Total Runs.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
