Benin vs Senegal Prediction & Picks - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Benin
12/30/25 14:00
Senegal

Prediction:

 

Senegal -1.5

-115
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 by Tyler Doty in AFCON Picks

It's Group D's turn to deliver its verdict at the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations! On Tuesday, one of the two headline matches of the third day pits Benin against Senegal at the Ibn Batouta Stadium in Tangier. The Cheetahs are still in contention to qualify for the round of 16 of this tournament. They bounced back from their narrow defeat to DR Congo (1-0) by beating Botswana, the weakest team in the group (1-0). The team coached by Gernot Rohr now faces a very difficult task. They will take on one of the tournament favorites...

Senegal knows how much is expected of it in this 2025 AFCON. Its start to the tournament has lived up to expectations, with a resounding victory over Botswana (3-0). The Lions of Teranga were then held to a draw by DR Congo in the Group D clash (1-1). Although they are top of the group going into the final matchday, they have the same number of points as their last opponent. First place in this group could therefore be decided remotely. To give themselves the best chance, Pape Thiaw's men will be looking to secure a big win.

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Benin vs Senegal Form

Table

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Senegal
Senegal
7 3 2 1 0 6
3
Benin
Benin
3 3 1 0 2 -3

Benin and Senegal Latest Matches

Benin
Benin Latest matches
W W L L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
0% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Benin
1 :  0
Botswana

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

DR Congo
1 :  0
Benin

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Burkina Faso
3 :  0
Benin

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
4 :  0
Benin

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Rwanda
0 :  1
Benin

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Benin
4 :  0
Lesotho
W D L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Benin
1 :  0
Botswana

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

Benin
4 :  0
Lesotho

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Benin
1 :  0
Zimbabwe

Mar 25, 2025 - World Cup

Benin
0 :  2
South Africa

Nov 14, 2024 - AFCON

Benin
1 :  1
Nigeria

Oct 11, 2024 - AFCON

Benin
3 :  0
Rwanda
D L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

DR Congo
1 :  0
Benin

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Burkina Faso
3 :  0
Benin

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Nigeria
4 :  0
Benin

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

Rwanda
0 :  1
Benin

Jun 9, 2025 - International Friendlies

Morocco
1 :  0
Benin

Mar 20, 2025 - World Cup

Zimbabwe
2 :  2
Benin
Senegal
Senegal Latest matches
W W L W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
DR Congo

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  0
Botswana

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  8
Senegal

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

Brazil
2 :  0
Senegal

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
4 :  0
Mauritania

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  5
Senegal
W D W W W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

Dec 27, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  1
DR Congo

Dec 23, 2025 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  0
Botswana

Oct 14, 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
4 :  0
Mauritania

Sep 5, 2025 - World Cup

Senegal
2 :  0
Sudan

Aug 12, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Senegal
1 :  1
Congo Republic

Aug 5, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Senegal
1 :  0
Nigeria
D D W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

Nov 18, 2025 - International Friendlies

Kenya
0 :  8
Senegal

Nov 15, 2025 - International Friendlies

Brazil
2 :  0
Senegal

Oct 10, 2025 - World Cup

South Sudan
0 :  5
Senegal

Sep 9, 2025 - World Cup

DR Congo
2 :  3
Senegal

Aug 29, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Sudan
1 :  1
Senegal

Aug 26, 2025 - African Nations Championship

Morocco
1 :  1
Senegal

Benin against Senegal : Head to Head (H2H)

Benin

0 %

Draw

25 %

Senegal

75 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
25%
Over 2.5
75%
Under 2.5

Mar 26, 2024 - International Friendlies

Senegal
1 :  0
Benin

Jun 17, 2023 - AFCON

Benin
1 :  1
Senegal

Jun 4, 2022 - AFCON

Senegal
3 :  1
Benin

Jul 10, 2019 - AFCON

Senegal
1 :  0
Benin

Benin - Senegal: Form Analysis

Benin did not have much luck in the draw for the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations. It found itself in a very difficult Group D, with two of the tournament's heavyweights. This was evident in its opening match, when the Cheetahs lost to DR Congo (1-0).

In their next match, they knew they had no choice but to beat Botswana if they wanted to keep their hopes of qualifying for the round of 16 alive. Thanks to a goal from Yohan Roche, Gernot Rohr's team got off the mark and moved into third place in the group, one point behind the top two.

Senegal is determined to secure first place in Group D and put itself in the best possible position for the round of 16.

Unsurprisingly, Senegal is among the top two teams in Group D and is considered one of the favorites to win the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations. With a very talented squad, Senegal had little trouble living up to its status in its debut against Botswana (3-0).

However, it was in the next match that the Lions of Teranga were expected to shine against DR Congo. In the end, they had to settle for a draw (1-1). With four points, Pape Thiaw's men are well on their way to reaching the round of 16. However, they will want to put themselves in the best possible position for the rest of the tournament by securing first place.

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Benin against Senegal Lineups: Starting 11

Benin

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
M. Dandjinou
3
T. Ouorou
6
O. Verdon
13
M. Tijani
5
Y. Roche
8
H. Imourane
4
A. Samadou
10
T. Aiyegun
19
D. Dodo
18
J. Olaitan
9
S. Mounie
10
S. Mane
20
H. Diallo
13
I. Ndiaye
8
L. Camara
5
I. Gueye
17
P. Sarr
25
E. Diouf
3
K. Koulibaly
4
A. Seck
15
K. Diatta
16
E. Mendy

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Senegal

Benin & Senegal Squad Analysis

Benin's players will have to pull out all the stops if they hope to resist one of the favorites of this 2025 Africa Cup of Nations. This will be particularly true for Yohan Roche in the Cheetahs' defense. The Petrolul player has scored the Cheetahs' only goal in the tournament so far. 

Gernot Rohr will also have a few offensive weapons at his disposal to challenge the Lions of Teranga's excellent defense. Suspended for Benin's opening game, Steve Mounié returned with an assist against Botswana. He will be able to count on Aiyegun Tosin's help to score goals. The FC Lorient striker has found the net three times in Ligue 1.

Senegal has talent in every position.

Before the start of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations, Senegal saw Ilay Camara and Assane Diao withdraw from the squad. Otherwise, Pape Thiaw has a very strong squad in every position. This starts with the defense, with Édouard Mendy in goal and Kalidou Koulibaly and Moussa Niakhaté in central defense. The Lions of Teranga's midfield is also impressive, with Pape Gueye, Idrissa Gueye, and Lamine Camara.

And what about their attack? Nicolas Jackson scored twice in Senegal's opening game, while Sadio Mané got on the scoresheet in the next game, equalizing against DR Congo. Ibrahim Mbaye, Iliman Ndiaye, and Ismaïla Sarr are also ones to watch.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Benin
CD Huachipato Senegal
Top Goalscorer
Y. Roche (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Senegal C. Ndiaye (2 Goals) Senegal N. Jackson (2 Goals)
Best assists
S. Mounie (1 Assists)
Best assists
Senegal K. Diatta (1 Assists)
Senegal S. Mane (1 Assists)
Senegal C. Sabaly (1 Assists)
Senegal I. Jakobs (1 Assists)
Senegal I. Sarr (1 Assists)

Benin - Senegal Key Points

  1. In its first victory in this 2025 Africa Cup of Nations, Senegal won by a margin of three goals against Botswana (3-0).
  2. In its last four victories, Senegal has always won by at least two goals.
  3. First place in Group D could come down to goal difference, so Senegal will be doing everything it can to improve its tally on the final day.
  4. Benin has already suffered one defeat in this 2025 Africa Cup of Nations, losing 1-0 to DR Congo.
  5. Benin has lost three of its last four games, twice by at least three goals.
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Our Benin vs Senegal Prediction

First place in Group D is likely to be decided between DR Congo and Senegal, as they failed to break the deadlock in their last match (1-1). The Lions of Teranga are currently in the lead thanks to a better goal difference (+3 for Senegal and +1 for DR Congo). They will be keen to consolidate this position by putting on a strong performance against Benin. Pape Thiaw's team will do everything they can to secure a big win and not give their direct rivals any chance of overtaking them.

Our prediction for Benin vs. Senegal: Senegal to win by at least two goals!

Prediction:

 

Senegal -1.5

-115
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Benin vs Senegal - Other Interesting Picks

Sadio Mane Anytime Goalscorer

Odds +120
Against DR Congo, it was Sadio Mané who scored the only goal for the Lions of Teranga. It would not be surprising to see the Senegalese veteran show up on the score sheet again.
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Benin Under 0.5 Goals

Odds -170
Benin has scored only one goal in its last four games, and that was against Botswana. The Cheetahs may struggle to find confidence in attack in this match against one of the favorites to win the Africa Cup of Nations: Senegal.
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Benin vs Senegal Picks