Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Picks - Rolex Paris Masters
ATP - Rolex Paris Masters
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by Lou Aguila | in Rolex Paris Masters Picks
Tommy Paul is a tantalizing +135 to cover the 3.5-game handicap against Ben Shelton in the 2026 Paris Masters quarterfinals. Paul demolished Shelton 6-2, 6-4 in their last indoor meeting.
Current Form:
Tommy Paul has cruised through to the quarterfinals of the 2026 Paris Masters after grinding down Quentin Halys 7-6, 6-4. Paul also dispatched Daniel Merida 6-1, 6-1 and Holger Rune 7-5, 6-4, riding a huge wave of momentum heading into the championship rounds.
Ben Shelton gutted out a 3-6, 6-4, 7-6 win over Arthur Rinderknech to keep his title bid alive in Paris. Shelton held 100 percent of his service games after winning 75 percent of first-serve points and firing 16 aces. Shelton is 3-1 in his last 4 indoor matches.
The Matchup: Paul and Shelton are 2-2 in their head-to-head series, but Paul won their last indoor meeting (6-2, 6-4) in Dallas in 2024.
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Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul Form
Ben Shelton and Tommy Paul Latest Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Nov 5, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters
Nov 3, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 29, 2026 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 27, 2026 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel
Oct 11, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
Oct 9, 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
Nov 5, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters
Nov 4, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters
Nov 3, 2026 - Rolex Paris Masters
Oct 30, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 29, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Oct 27, 2026 - ATP Vienna
Ben Shelton against Tommy Paul : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
Feb 10, 2024 - Dallas Open
Oct 20, 2023 - ATP Japan Open
Sep 3, 2023 - ATP US Open
Ben Shelton - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Tommy Paul is 8-3 in indoor matches in 2026.
- Tommy Paul is 3-5 vs. top-10 players in 2026.
- Ben Shelton is 8-3 in indoor matches in 2026.
- Ben Shelton is 9-4 vs. top-20 players in 2026.
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Our Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul Prediction
Key Stats: Tommy Paul is winning 87.2 percent of first-serve points and averaging 10 aces per match. He has conceded only one service break in the tournament. The last time he faced Shelton, he broke the big server three times on 25 return points.
Betting Analysis: Take Tommy Paul at +135 to cover -3.5 games. Shelton has improved a lot since that last meeting, but we can't deny that Paul is killing it in Paris. What makes Paul so dangerous in this match-up is his ability to absorb and redirect Shelton’s massive serves, which only a few players on the tour can do. It will still be an entertaining showdown of finesse vs. power, though in the end, Paul’s variety and depth will give him a comfortable win.
Fearless Forecast: Tommy Paul wins 6-4, 7-5
Our betting prediction for Tommy Paul vs. Ben Shelton: Tommy Paul -3.5 games
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
